The truth though is that the Madsen contract will likely set the market. Papelbon will command and eventually get 50+ over 4 years. Broxton, Bell and others such as Nathan will be massively overpaid for as well. It defies the basic principles of supply and demand but that's how the FA-market has worked in the past. Why the Phillies jumped the gun signing Madsen to the contract they did in the current closer-market is beyond me and would make for an intersting research paper.
If the Red Sox can get Papelbon to sign a 3-year deal at 13 per they should probably do it. Papelbon after all is the second best closer in the game. But after what the Phillies did it will be hard. Some other idiot GM will come along and think, hey, compared to the Madson deal, Paps at 4/50 is a steal let's do it.
I still believe that somehow Papelbon will wear a Red Sox uniform next year, but let's hope Cherrington is unwilling to get ass-raped and has a plan B.
4/44 for Madsen, in this market, wtf!
Watching Derek Jeter make 40 defensive plays and then watching Adam Everett make 40 defensive plays at the same position is sort of like watching video of Barbara Bush dancing at the White House, and then watching Demi Moore dancing in Striptease. (Bill James)
Dustin Pedroia doesn't have the strength or bat speed to hit major-league pitching consistently, and he has no power. If he can continue to hit .260 or so, he'll be useful, and he probably has a future as a backup infielder. (Keith Law)