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Thread: Red Sox offseason 2011-2012

  1. #51
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike D. View Post
    I fully expect Lackey back next year as well. That contract is just too tough to move right now. Like I said, maybe he'll be a little better (can't be much worse) and be a viable 4th/5th starter.
    Hey Beckett had horrible seasons too, right? I fully expect that the Red Sox will fix Lackey. Lackey has also a lot of proud and talent. He will get there.

  2. #52
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    Danks from the White Sox should be available...Maybe they will try to win first and trade him away only during the season.

  3. #53
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    Quote Originally Posted by Therwil Flyer View Post
    I didn't suggest trading him because of clubhouse issues. I generally don't care about the good/bad clubhouse guy stuff, because as fans we can't really have much of an opinion on that. Only thing we know is from the media, and in Boston 99% of that is just bush.

    Beckett is signed through 2014. He's 31, and even with that ********* last month he has a 2.89 ERA (vastly outperforming his FIP of 3.58). He has also really weird even/odd year splits, being really good every other year and mostly average the other years.

    Right now his trade value is still high! Of course we need an SP in return. I haven't checked at all who might be interested and what trading chips they have. So far purely an idea. Sell high on him, get a good SP and a good prospect in return. Lackey and his contract aren't going anywhere.
    Good points, yeah, I'd consider trading him if we got a good pitcher in return.

  4. #54
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike D. View Post
    Well, unless you can talk someone into trading something good for crap, you don't have a lot of options!

    Sometimes, a change of scenery call help a guy. Or at least you get a new problem, instead of the old one you're sick of.

    I hope Lackey re-dedicates himself this off-season and comes back and pitches well. If he can be even just a solid #4 starter, that'll go a long way towards making 2012 a better season for the Sox. Lackey can't show up out of shape and with an attitude, though, like he did this year.
    I agree, sometimes a change can bring out the best in a player.

    But most likely we are stuck with Lackey, so lets hope he does as you suggest by changing his attitude gets in shape.

  5. #55
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    Quote Originally Posted by SwissRedSoxFan View Post
    Hey Beckett had horrible seasons too, right? I fully expect that the Red Sox will fix Lackey. Lackey has also a lot of proud and talent. He will get there.
    I hope you're right. My guess is the Sox will try, since they really can't trade him, but I'm speculating that if he's as bad as he was this year, by being more of a liability then a help, that by mid season, they will dump him and just eat the contract.

  6. #56
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    Report: Red Sox let 1B coach Ron Johnson go

    Johnson is a nice guy and a baseball lifer. I hate seeing him go, but the next manager will obviously be bringing in his own guys.
    Visit my new card scan site at Baseball Card Scans.

    View my autograph collection at Mike D's TTM Page.

  7. #57
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    Quote Originally Posted by SwissRedSoxFan View Post
    Danks from the White Sox should be available...Maybe they will try to win first and trade him away only during the season.
    So will Buehrle from what I gather.

  8. #58
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    Quote Originally Posted by raysnbran View Post
    So will Buehrle from what I gather.
    HE is a free agent and NL-bound, he said once personally.

  9. #59
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike D. View Post
    Report: Red Sox let 1B coach Ron Johnson go

    Johnson is a nice guy and a baseball lifer. I hate seeing him go, but the next manager will obviously be bringing in his own guys.
    I mentioned that in the Manager thread. But how is it that Ron Johnson was fired and Tim Bogar is, as of this moment, still a coach in the Red Sox organization? Is Johnson just the first to go in a house cleaning?
    Watching Derek Jeter make 40 defensive plays and then watching Adam Everett make 40 defensive plays at the same position is sort of like watching video of Barbara Bush dancing at the White House, and then watching Demi Moore dancing in Striptease. (Bill James)

    Dustin Pedroia doesn't have the strength or bat speed to hit major-league pitching consistently, and he has no power. If he can continue to hit .260 or so, he'll be useful, and he probably has a future as a backup infielder. (Keith Law)

  10. #60
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    While speculations about potential new managers and the coaching staff and the Theo to Cubs rumors continue, there are still plenty of question about how to improve the club on the field. Given the state of this year's FA market and the recent track record with FA signings, I doubt that the Red Sox will sign a major FA. The possibility for big trade deals is also somewhat limited. So here are three somewhat random ideas, that might or might not be completely unrealistic.
    - Trade Lowrie + Prospect to the Dodgers for Keneley Jansen. Pickup Scutaro's option. Let Papelbon walk.
    The Dodgers have a lot of RP-depth but big time holes at 3B and 2B. Most of their top prospects are pitchers as well, so they might be interested in acquiring a relatively cheap infielder with potential power.
    - Trade Kevin Youkilis for pitching. Maybe to the Brewers. They do need a middle of the order type 1B. Maybe SF or the Braves. Both have tons of young pitching and could use an offensive upgrade.
    - Sign a stopgap 3B for a year or two untill Middlebrooks is ready, preferably a good defender. Mike Aviles becomes the utility infielder. Resign David Ortiz as DH.
    - If you wanna go crazy and a market for him develops, sell high on Beckett. Might the Rangers be interested (Would they trade Perez and Olt/Profar) or the Royals?
    - Other ideas: Resign Bedard. Get Ted Lilly from the Dodgers if they are trying to dump payroll. Would the Orioles trade Guthrie within the AL East?

    The loss of Youk's offense should not hurt too much, given this team was first in almost every offensive category and (knock on wood) a resurgence of Carl Crawford's bat. If we can get a good SP for Youk, it should help the team get better.
    Last edited by Therwil Flyer; 10-06-2011 at 08:27 AM.
    Watching Derek Jeter make 40 defensive plays and then watching Adam Everett make 40 defensive plays at the same position is sort of like watching video of Barbara Bush dancing at the White House, and then watching Demi Moore dancing in Striptease. (Bill James)

    Dustin Pedroia doesn't have the strength or bat speed to hit major-league pitching consistently, and he has no power. If he can continue to hit .260 or so, he'll be useful, and he probably has a future as a backup infielder. (Keith Law)

  11. #61
    why give up youkilis? he basically was their best hitter over the last years even if this year was a down year with a lot of injuries.

    You would still need a 3B or later a DH if ortiz goes or falls apart. I would keep youk.

    Also why are you guys all so sure that middlebrooks will ever be "ready"? He has shown some promising signs but it was very mixed he didn't dominate the minors like lavarnway. I would see him as a bonus if he works out but I wouldn't count on him.

    prospects are always a gamble.
    I think walks are overrated unless you can run. If you get a walk and put the pitcher in a stretch, that helps, but the guy who walks and can’t run, most of the time he’s clogging up the bases for somebody who can run. – Dusty Baker.

  12. #62
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    Quote Originally Posted by dominik View Post
    why give up youkilis? he basically was their best hitter over the last years even if this year was a down year with a lot of injuries.
    Because his value is still high right now, so that you can get something of equally high value in return. He's signed through 2012 for 12m with a club option (13m) for 2013. He'll turn 33 next March. He's a Gold Glove 1B but not really a Gold Glove 3B anymore. What I'm saying is he might be more valuable to another team (such as the Brewers or Braves) than he is for the Red Sox. At the same time these teams might have pitchers that are more valuable to the Red Sox than to them.

    Quote Originally Posted by dominik View Post
    Also why are you guys all so sure that middlebrooks will ever be "ready"? He has shown some promising signs but it was very mixed he didn't dominate the minors like lavarnway. I would see him as a bonus if he works out but I wouldn't count on him.
    prospects are always a gamble.
    I'm by no means sure that Middlebrooks will turn into the player he has the potential to be. As you say, always a gamble with prospects. But I'm willing to take the top prospect into account when planning for the future.
    Watching Derek Jeter make 40 defensive plays and then watching Adam Everett make 40 defensive plays at the same position is sort of like watching video of Barbara Bush dancing at the White House, and then watching Demi Moore dancing in Striptease. (Bill James)

    Dustin Pedroia doesn't have the strength or bat speed to hit major-league pitching consistently, and he has no power. If he can continue to hit .260 or so, he'll be useful, and he probably has a future as a backup infielder. (Keith Law)

  13. #63
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    Quote Originally Posted by Therwil Flyer View Post
    Because his value is still high right now, so that you can get something of equally high value in return. He's signed through 2012 for 12m with a club option (13m) for 2013. He'll turn 33 next March. He's a Gold Glove 1B but not really a Gold Glove 3B anymore. What I'm saying is he might be more valuable to another team (such as the Brewers or Braves) than he is for the Red Sox. At the same time these teams might have pitchers that are more valuable to the Red Sox than to them.

    I agree that trading Youkilis and Lowrie are the way to go. Youkilis is in decline and his trade value only will go down, but how much trade value do you think that Lowrie has? because i don't believe that he has much.


    I'm by no means sure that Middlebrooks will turn into the player he has the potential to be. As you say, always a gamble with prospects. But I'm willing to take the top prospect into account when planning for the future.
    There isn't much for sure at the ML level, but Middlebrook has All Star potential and along side with Iglesias would give the Red Sox best side of the infield in a lots of years.

  14. #64
    Quote Originally Posted by scaffolds View Post
    There isn't much for sure at the ML level, but Middlebrook has All Star potential and along side with Iglesias would give the Red Sox best side of the infield in a lots of years.
    how is his defense?
    I think walks are overrated unless you can run. If you get a walk and put the pitcher in a stretch, that helps, but the guy who walks and can’t run, most of the time he’s clogging up the bases for somebody who can run. – Dusty Baker.

  15. #65
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    Quote Originally Posted by dominik View Post
    how is his defense?
    Actually i was talking defense wise. Middlebrook has + defense, very good hands and range, very strong arm.

  16. #66
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    Quote Originally Posted by SwissRedSoxFan View Post
    P Josh Willingham might be a good right-handed bat in RF. Sign him for 1/10 or 2/16 would be an toher option. He hit 28 HR's in 2011.
    ignore post
    Last edited by Therwil Flyer; 10-07-2011 at 04:08 AM.
    Watching Derek Jeter make 40 defensive plays and then watching Adam Everett make 40 defensive plays at the same position is sort of like watching video of Barbara Bush dancing at the White House, and then watching Demi Moore dancing in Striptease. (Bill James)

    Dustin Pedroia doesn't have the strength or bat speed to hit major-league pitching consistently, and he has no power. If he can continue to hit .260 or so, he'll be useful, and he probably has a future as a backup infielder. (Keith Law)

  17. #67
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    Quote Originally Posted by Therwil Flyer View Post
    While speculations about potential new managers and the coaching staff and the Theo to Cubs rumors continue, there are still plenty of question about how to improve the club on the field. Given the state of this year's FA market and the recent track record with FA signings, I doubt that the Red Sox will sign a major FA. The possibility for big trade deals is also somewhat limited. So here are three somewhat random ideas, that might or might not be completely unrealistic.
    - Trade Lowrie + Prospect to the Dodgers for Keneley Jansen. Pickup Scutaro's option. Let Papelbon walk.
    The Dodgers have a lot of RP-depth but big time holes at 3B and 2B. Most of their top prospects are pitchers as well, so they might be interested in acquiring a relatively cheap infielder with potential power.
    - Trade Kevin Youkilis for pitching. Maybe to the Brewers. They do need a middle of the order type 1B. Maybe SF or the Braves. Both have tons of young pitching and could use an offensive upgrade.
    - Sign a stopgap 3B for a year or two untill Middlebrooks is ready, preferably a good defender. Mike Aviles becomes the utility infielder. Resign David Ortiz as DH.
    - If you wanna go crazy and a market for him develops, sell high on Beckett. Might the Rangers be interested (Would they trade Perez and Olt/Profar) or the Royals?
    - Other ideas: Resign Bedard. Get Ted Lilly from the Dodgers if they are trying to dump payroll. Would the Orioles trade Guthrie within the AL East?

    The loss of Youk's offense should not hurt too much, given this team was first in almost every offensive category and (knock on wood) a resurgence of Carl Crawford's bat. If we can get a good SP for Youk, it should help the team get better.


    I think the FO will make those thoughts, but thats waaaay too many changes. I wouldn't overreact right now. Remember: that team was like 82-42 before September. Thats a team capable of winning the WS in 2012. There are some older guys who want to win now and everything in Boston is win now at the moment. So on the field, they should make some minor changes in the rotation, bullpen and they'll be fine.

    Willingham would just be an idea, if Reddick is traded for pitching. Otherwise go cheap and intern in RF. You could also put Crawford in RF to maximise his good defense (on paper). Because you cannot do much in front of that wall.

  18. #68
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    Quote Originally Posted by scaffolds View Post
    There isn't much for sure at the ML level, but Middlebrook has All Star potential and along side with Iglesias would give the Red Sox best side of the infield in a lots of years.
    For me, Middlebrooks is a Joe Crede guy. Very good defense. Power bat, but a low OBP. He will never be the offensive force Youkilis is (look at the BB-K-ratios in his career!). On the other side, he is probably better at 3B than Youk.

  19. #69
    Quote Originally Posted by SwissRedSoxFan View Post
    I think the FO will make those thoughts, but thats waaaay too many changes. I wouldn't overreact right now. Remember: that team was like 82-42 before September. Thats a team capable of winning the WS in 2012. There are some older guys who want to win now and everything in Boston is win now at the moment. So on the field, they should make some minor changes in the rotation, bullpen and they'll be fine.

    Willingham would just be an idea, if Reddick is traded for pitching. Otherwise go cheap and intern in RF. You could also put Crawford in RF to maximise his good defense (on paper). Because you cannot do much in front of that wall.
    Also they led the league in runs. this season even scored more then the yanks. the offense was just fine this year.
    I think walks are overrated unless you can run. If you get a walk and put the pitcher in a stretch, that helps, but the guy who walks and can’t run, most of the time he’s clogging up the bases for somebody who can run. – Dusty Baker.

  20. #70
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    Quote Originally Posted by SwissRedSoxFan View Post
    I think the FO will make those thoughts, but thats waaaay too many changes. I wouldn't overreact right now. Remember: that team was like 82-42 before September. Thats a team capable of winning the WS in 2012. There are some older guys who want to win now and everything in Boston is win now at the moment. So on the field, they should make some minor changes in the rotation, bullpen and they'll be fine.

    Willingham would just be an idea, if Reddick is traded for pitching. Otherwise go cheap and intern in RF. You could also put Crawford in RF to maximise his good defense (on paper). Because you cannot do much in front of that wall.
    How is that waaaaay to many changes, when all I proposed was trading Lowrie+Prospect for Jansen (to replace Papelbon) and Youk for SP? That's a grand total of 2 (two) changes. I even advocate resigning Scutaro/Ortiz/Bedard, so no changes there.
    Watching Derek Jeter make 40 defensive plays and then watching Adam Everett make 40 defensive plays at the same position is sort of like watching video of Barbara Bush dancing at the White House, and then watching Demi Moore dancing in Striptease. (Bill James)

    Dustin Pedroia doesn't have the strength or bat speed to hit major-league pitching consistently, and he has no power. If he can continue to hit .260 or so, he'll be useful, and he probably has a future as a backup infielder. (Keith Law)

  21. #71
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    Quote Originally Posted by dominik View Post
    Also they led the league in runs. this season even scored more then the yanks. the offense was just fine this year.
    Yes the offense has been fantastic despite a terrible year for Crawford and injuries to Youkilis. That's exactly why I'm proposing to trade away some of that offense for pitching! I'd rather have them score 6 runs a game with their pitching allowing no more than 5 runs rather than them scoring 9 runs and their pitchers allowing 12!
    Watching Derek Jeter make 40 defensive plays and then watching Adam Everett make 40 defensive plays at the same position is sort of like watching video of Barbara Bush dancing at the White House, and then watching Demi Moore dancing in Striptease. (Bill James)

    Dustin Pedroia doesn't have the strength or bat speed to hit major-league pitching consistently, and he has no power. If he can continue to hit .260 or so, he'll be useful, and he probably has a future as a backup infielder. (Keith Law)

  22. #72
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    Quote Originally Posted by SwissRedSoxFan View Post
    For me, Middlebrooks is a Joe Crede guy. Very good defense. Power bat, but a low OBP. He will never be the offensive force Youkilis is (look at the BB-K-ratios in his career!). On the other side, he is probably better at 3B than Youk.
    Right, his .345 OBP he had in his first season at AA this season is just outright embarrassing. Come on now! Will he need to learn to be more selective at the plate, sure, but the kid had .865 OPS in his first season at AA.
    Watching Derek Jeter make 40 defensive plays and then watching Adam Everett make 40 defensive plays at the same position is sort of like watching video of Barbara Bush dancing at the White House, and then watching Demi Moore dancing in Striptease. (Bill James)

    Dustin Pedroia doesn't have the strength or bat speed to hit major-league pitching consistently, and he has no power. If he can continue to hit .260 or so, he'll be useful, and he probably has a future as a backup infielder. (Keith Law)

  23. #73
    Quote Originally Posted by Therwil Flyer View Post
    Yes the offense has been fantastic despite a terrible year for Crawford and injuries to Youkilis. That's exactly why I'm proposing to trade away some of that offense for pitching! I'd rather have them score 6 runs a game with their pitching allowing no more than 5 runs rather than them scoring 9 runs and their pitchers allowing 12!
    I think that crawford and youk can do better next year. but on the other hand ellsbury had a career year and ortiz is not getting any younger. So it won't surprise me if both couldn't repeat this years performance.

    It is possible to repeat this years run production but it won't be easy when ellsbury, pedroia, ortiz and gonzalez all were red hot. A slight drop of by them is not easily compensated by a better CC and youk.

    That's why I think that the Red sox should keep themselves a safety net and don't trade away too much offense. injuries and slumps can happen.

    but generally I agree with you, SP is the main need for next year.
    I think walks are overrated unless you can run. If you get a walk and put the pitcher in a stretch, that helps, but the guy who walks and can’t run, most of the time he’s clogging up the bases for somebody who can run. – Dusty Baker.

  24. #74
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    Quote Originally Posted by SwissRedSoxFan View Post
    For me, Middlebrooks is a Joe Crede guy. Very good defense. Power bat, but a low OBP. He will never be the offensive force Youkilis is (look at the BB-K-ratios in his career!). On the other side, he is probably better at 3B than Youk.
    Middlebrook potential is a lot better player than Youkilis, a better athlete, better defender at the hot corner, a better arm, a lot more power, potentially a better all around hitter with Youkilis having a better plate discipline, but again Middlebrook is a power hitter and power hitter OBP is not as important as non power hitters are. Youkilis has never been considered as a power hitter and thats why OBP is more important with Youkilis.

  25. #75
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    Quote Originally Posted by scaffolds View Post
    Middlebrook potential is a lot better player than Youkilis, a better athlete, better defender at the hot corner, a better arm, a lot more power, potentially a better all around hitter with Youkilis having a better plate discipline, but again Middlebrook is a power hitter and power hitter OBP is not as important as non power hitters are. Youkilis has never been considered as a power hitter and thats why OBP is more important with Youkilis.
    Of course getting on base is more important for a hitter with less power than it is for someone with lots of power. But the perception of Youkilis as a non-power hitter strikes me as wrong. Youkilis has transformed ca. 2007 from a pure OBP-machine into more aggressive hitter with quite a bit of power. He hit 29 HRs in 2008 for a .569 slg. At the same time his k's have gone up a tick and his pitches per PA have gone down a tick. He's essentially become a power hitter. It's just that everyone continues to think of him as the Greek god of walks rather than a Jewish power hitter. But that's just a skewed perception.
    Watching Derek Jeter make 40 defensive plays and then watching Adam Everett make 40 defensive plays at the same position is sort of like watching video of Barbara Bush dancing at the White House, and then watching Demi Moore dancing in Striptease. (Bill James)

    Dustin Pedroia doesn't have the strength or bat speed to hit major-league pitching consistently, and he has no power. If he can continue to hit .260 or so, he'll be useful, and he probably has a future as a backup infielder. (Keith Law)

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