Does anyone have a chart that breaks down the hitters success rate based on the count? Thank you in advance.
Does anyone have a chart that breaks down the hitters success rate based on the count? Thank you in advance.
Pitch Count
0-3 0%
1-3 0%
2-3 0%
3-3 0%
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source "coaching baseball successfully" by mike curran
has a chart in it using over 15000 ab
http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/ar...-one-part-two/
AVG OBP SLG LWR/PA Benefit
0-0 Strike .261 .296 .411 -.029 -.069
0-0 Ball .280 .385 .459 .040
0-1 Strike .231 .256 .349 -.085 -.058
0-1 Ball .248 .319 .396 -.027
0-2 Strike .167 .179 .243 -.200 -.068
0-2 Ball .191 .243 .294 -.132
1-0 Strike .276 .325 .445 .005 -.100
1-0 Ball .290 .516 .493 .105
1-1 Strike .241 .352 .377 -.060 -.092
1-1 Ball .262 .398 .433 .032
1-2 Strike .177 .186 .260 -.183 -.108
1-2 Ball .207 .307 .333 -.075
2-0 Strike .288 .386 .493 .054 -.160
2-0 Ball .296 .725 .496 .214
2-1 Strike .258 .318 .421 -.014 -.156
2-1 Ball .281 .586 .475 .142
2-2 Strike .195 .200 .308 -.153 -.192
2-2 Ball .230 .470 .380 .040
3-0 Strike .296 .578 .496 .144 -.200
3-0 Ball .000 1.000 .000 .344
3-1 Strike .281 .418 .475 .060 -.284
3-1 Ball .000 1.000 .000 .344
3-2 Strike .230 .230 .380 -.098 -.443
3-2 Ball .000 1.000 .000 .344
the one in Mike Curran's book i believe was from high school. it shows higher overall averages of course. all of the 0,1 strike counts are higher but the 2 strike count are lower.
just quoting a book ref. not my opinion.
You can find individual stats on MLB'ers by count on Yahoo if you drill down deep enough. I believe it's under "situational." I don't know if they keep it from year to year or just the current year.
Thank you LK.
The data I've been using gives the highest probability of getting on base for a strike thrown with a 3-1 count (even higher than for a strike thrown with a 3-0 count).
Help me interpret the above data.
Let's take the case of a 0-0 count with a strike thrown, where the OBP is 0.296.
Does this imply that OBP for the entire "at bat" will result in the batter getting on base 29.6% of the time, or does it imply that 29.6% of the time that this pitch (a strike with a 0-0 count) will result in the batter getting on base?
I'm inclined to believe that this data represents the statistics for the entire "at bat".
What I'd be more interested in is the percentage of times a hitter successfully gets on base when swinging at a strike for each count. Does anyone have such stats?
Last edited by FiveFrameSwing; 01-23-2008 at 01:23 PM.
FFS, did you go to the website that I got this chart from? There is a lot of info that goes along with this chart that I didn't take time to cut/paste.
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