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Bill James 2012 Predictions

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  • Bill James 2012 Predictions

    Derek Jeter

    2011 Bill James projection: .295/.365/.410, .344 wOBA
    2011 actual numbers: .297/.355/.388, .332 wOBA
    2012 Bill James projection: .291/.360/.393, .333 wOBA
    --
    Curtis Granderson

    2011 Bill James projection: .264/.341/.471, .355 wOBA
    2011 actual numbers: .262/.364/.552, .394 wOBA
    2012 Bill James projection: .260/.348/.494, .364 wOBA
    --
    Robinson Cano
    2011 Bill James projection: .308/.356/.502, .371 wOBA
    2011 actual numbers: .302/.349/.533, .375 wOBA
    2012 Bill James projection: .303/.350/.505, .366 wOBA
    --
    Alex Rodriguez

    2011 Bill James projection: .284/.381/.530, .393 wOBA
    2011 actual numbers: .276/.362/.461, .361 wOBA
    2012 Bill James projection: .277/.373/.497, .377 wOBA
    --
    Mark Teixeira

    2011 Bill James projection: .282/.383/.532, .393 wOBA
    2011 actual numbers: .248/.341/.494, .361 wOBA
    2012 Bill James projection: .271/.370/.522, .383 wOBA
    --
    Nick Swisher

    2011 Bill James projection: .257/.359/.472, .362 wOBA
    2011 actual numbers: .260/.374/.449, .358 wOBA
    2012 Bill James projection: .255/.366/.461, .361 wOBA
    --
    Russell Martin
    2011 Bill James projection: .266/.367/.379, .334 wOBA
    2011 actual numbers: .237/.324/.408, .325 wOBA
    2012 Bill James projection: .256/.355/.400, .355 wOBA
    --
    Brett Gardner

    2011 Bill James projection: .275/.377/.371, .349 wOBA
    2011 actual numbers: .259/.345/.369, .330 wOBA
    2012 Bill James projection: .273/.369/.372, .341 wOBA
    --

    CC Sabathia

    2011 Bill James projection: 237.2 IP, 3.32 ERA, 3.34 FIP, 7.7 K/9, 2.5 BB/9, 0.7 HR/9
    2011 actual numbers: 237.1 IP, 3.00 ERA, 2.88 FIP, 8.7 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 0.6 HR/9
    2012 Bill James projection: 235.0 IP, 3.33 ERA, 3.30 FIP, 7.9 K/9, 2.5 BB/9, 0.7 HR/9

    Ivan Nova

    2011 Bill James projection: 80.0 IP, 4.61 ERA, 4.22 FIP, 6.4 K/9, 4.1 BB/9, 0.8 HR/9
    2011 actual numbers: 165.1 IP, 3.70 ERA, 4.01 FIP, 5.3 K/9, 3.1 BB/9, 0.7 HR/9
    2012 Bill James projection: 183.0 IP, 4.28 ERA, 4.11 FIP, 6.1 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, 0.8 HR/9

    Phil Hughes

    2011 Bill James projection: 177.0 IP, 3.56 ERA, 3.76 FIP, 8.4 K/9, 3.1 BB/9, 1.0 HR/9
    2011 actual numbers: 74.2 IP, 5.79 ERA, 4.58 FIP, 5.7 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, 1.1 HR/9
    2012 Bill James projection: 102.0 IP, 3.71 ERA, 3.82 FIP, 8.0 K/9, 3.1 BB/9, 1.0 HR/9

    Freddy Garcia

    2011 Bill James projection: 148.0 IP, 4.20 ERA, 4.52 FIP, 6.0 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 1.30 HR/9
    2011 actual numbers: 146.2 IP, 3.62 ERA, 4.12 FIP, 5.9 K/9, 2.8 BB/9, 1.0 HR/9
    2012 Bill James projection: 144.0 IP, 4.25 ERA, 4.43 FIP, 5.9 K/9, 2.7 BB/9, 1.2 HR/9

    Michael Pineda

    2011 Bill James projection: 9-10, 171 IP, 9.11 K/9, 2.89 BB/9, 3.74 ERA, 3.42 FIP
    2012 Bill James projection: 11-8, 176 IP, 9.41 K/9, 2.71 BB/9, 3.07 ERA, 3.19 FIP
    "After my fourth season I asked for $43,000 and General Manager Ed Barrow told me, 'Young man, do you realize Lou Gehrig, a 16-year-man, is playing for only $44,000?' I said, Mr. Barrow, there is only one answer to that - Mr. Gehrig is terribly underpaid."- Yankees outfielder Joe DiMaggio

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