Having the ability to look at many more things than ever before, I’ve really gotten intrigued by the numbers when looking at moving runners relative to where the runners are and how many outs there are.

While all 8 runner situations from none on to bases loaded are telling, with the data I have, a lone runner on 3rd seems to tell the strangest story. If you look at the attached, you’ll see how our team fared during last season. pbi5.pdf

The metric’s pretty simple, but I’ll explain just to be sure there’s no misunderstanding. There were 8 occasions where there was a runner on 3rd with no outs and there weren’t any times the AB caused the runner to score. There were 32 times with 1 out, and 13 times the AB caused the run to score. And there were 29 times with 2 outs with the AB causing the run to score 5 times.

I understand why the number of times an AB pushes a run across with 2 outs isn’t very high. After all, the number of ways to score is reduced. The number of times an AB pushed a run across with 1 out is pretty high because there are so many more ways for it to happen. But what I don’t understand, is why not 1 time in 8 opportunities with no outs, an AB didn’t generate a run.

When I looked at the details, I found of the 8 times, 1 was a K, 2 were BIP outs, 1 was a HBP, and 4 were walks. Our opponents were 0-4 with a runner in 3rd and no outs. They had 1 K, a BIP that scored the runner once, and BIPs that didn’t twice. One thing’s for sure. Our pitchers didn’t make things worse!

While all 8 runner situations from none on to bases loaded are telling, with the data I have, a lone runner on 3rd seems to tell the strangest story. If you look at the attached, you’ll see how our team fared during last season. pbi5.pdf

The metric’s pretty simple, but I’ll explain just to be sure there’s no misunderstanding. There were 8 occasions where there was a runner on 3rd with no outs and there weren’t any times the AB caused the runner to score. There were 32 times with 1 out, and 13 times the AB caused the run to score. And there were 29 times with 2 outs with the AB causing the run to score 5 times.

I understand why the number of times an AB pushes a run across with 2 outs isn’t very high. After all, the number of ways to score is reduced. The number of times an AB pushed a run across with 1 out is pretty high because there are so many more ways for it to happen. But what I don’t understand, is why not 1 time in 8 opportunities with no outs, an AB didn’t generate a run.

When I looked at the details, I found of the 8 times, 1 was a K, 2 were BIP outs, 1 was a HBP, and 4 were walks. Our opponents were 0-4 with a runner in 3rd and no outs. They had 1 K, a BIP that scored the runner once, and BIPs that didn’t twice. One thing’s for sure. Our pitchers didn’t make things worse!

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