How many homers for Sammy?

[Hammerin Hank]

Sammy's only 34 years old and already has 522 career homeruns. How many do you think he'll end up with?

[Hammerin Hank]

I say he has about 165 left in him, which would give him about 690.

[tearforamariner]

My prediction: He'll hit about 650.

[Hammerin Hank]

Originally posted by Hammerin Hank
I say he has about 165 left in him, which would give him about 690.

Hmm...he's at 522 so far with 23 homer this season. He'll have about 35 for this season. If he plays until he's 39....

34: 35
35: 45
36: 40
37: 35
38: 30
39: 25

Now, that's 220 right there, so I guess with my prediction of 165 I think that he'll either not play until he's 39, he'll have a much more serious decline in power than I showed above, or he'll pull a Griffey and won't get much play time.

[Peggin_Maniac]

I can see him getting over 700 hr's, if he stay healthly and stays in the game for 5 to 6 years..

[racosun]

I personally think he's gonna come real close to 800.

[Hammerin Hank]

This is so fun, I'm going to make predictions for more of his stats:

Games: 2660, 28th all time
At bats: 10171, 20th
Runs: 1720, 22nd
Hits: 2800, 42nd
Doubles: 450, 71st
Triples: 50
RBI: 1910, 9th
Total Bases: 5700, 7th
Walks: 1160, 50th
Strikeouts: 2620, 1st
Stolen Bases: 240

[tearforamariner]

Hey, Hank. Do you want to know why I picked such a low number?

[Hammerin Hank]

You aren't good at math? Just playin!

[tearforamariner]

Originally posted by Hammerin Hank
You aren't good at math? Just playin!

Nope, actually I'm very good at math. I chose 650 just to tick you off.

[Hammerin Hank]

Oh, I wasn't ticked off. If you were trying for that you should've gone for a number around 600. I think that it is possible for him to end up with 650 for his career. But I also believe it's possible for him to end up with 750.

[uthminsta]

I predict 704. And although it would be an incredible coincidence if I were right, I'm sure this post will be forgotten by the time he does it.

[insanefishpossay]

If he plays until he's around 39-ish, I'd say around 700 homers. Maybe if he moves to the AL and stays as a DH for a few more seasons he could have more.

[kdog]

i think he still has two more fifty plus seasons alone. if he stays healthy, easily over 750. i think that what is more of a lock is that he will be the all time strikeout king. anyone curious as to why ol sammy boy stopped stealing bases?

[baseballwise]

Sammy is motivated to leave his mark on the game. He's several years younger than Barry Bonds, who will leave the game long before Sam as long as Sam remains healthy.

Having established that as my rationale, I predict Sam will strive to hit 25 homers beyond Bonds' final total. So racosun may be right...and the number may be closer to 800 than anything less.