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Ichiro Career Steals

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  • Ichiro Career Steals

    The other day, Ichiro Suzuki became the all-time steals leader for the Seattle Mariners. He also leads MLB in steals this year with 20 already.

    What do you think is the highest benchmark Ichiro will surpass in career MLB steals?

    (Edit: As of today, May 21, 2008, he has 293 stolen bases in his MLB career.)
    33
    300
    0.00%
    0
    350
    12.12%
    4
    400
    9.09%
    3
    450
    27.27%
    9
    500
    33.33%
    11
    550
    12.12%
    4
    600
    0.00%
    0
    650
    0.00%
    0
    700
    6.06%
    2
    Last edited by Seattle1; 05-21-2008, 11:22 AM.

  • #2
    Just some facts to consider.
    He is 35 with 7 full seasons played and he has 292 SB.
    Unlike most other team sports, in which teams usually have an equivalent number of players on the field at any given time, in baseball the hitting team is at a numerical disadvantage, with a maximum of 5 players and 2 base coaches on the field at any time, compared to the fielding team's 9 players. For this reason, leaving the dugout to join a fight is generally considered acceptable in that it results in numerical equivalence on the field, and a fairer fight.

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    • #3
      His rate stats are good, but he is getting to the age where 99% of MLB'ers loose their speed. I predict 350ish total at best.

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      • #4
        I think he will reach 500. Of course he will start to lose speed in the next few years, but he keeps himself in great shape and is a tremendous athlete. I am sure he will still be playing when he is 40.

        Saying he will get 350 is not giving him any type of credit. He might get that by the end of this season.

        He would really only need to average 38 a year for the next 6 years to get 500, and he is on pace to steal 75 this year. And I am pretty sure that he will be able to steal 30 a year after that.
        "Candlestick made me a man" -Will Clark

        "Real Giants fans loved them BEFORE and AFTER Barry Bonds came along"

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        • #5
          Originally posted by redlegsfan21 View Post
          Just some facts to consider.
          He is 35 with 7 full seasons played and he has 292 SB.
          Actually, Ichiro is 34.
          Strikeouts are boring! Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.-Crash Davis

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          • #6
            Originally posted by Jermz View Post

            Saying he will get 350 is not giving him any type of credit. He might get that by the end of this season.
            Your right, i misread it as him having 192 SB's. So up my prediction by 100. 450 total is my proper guess.

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            • #7
              Originally posted by bob View Post
              Your right, i misread it as him having 192 SB's. So up my prediction by 100. 450 total is my proper guess.
              Oh, in that case maybe a moderator can take one vote from the 350 column and shift it to 450?

              :lightbulb:

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              • #8
                Ichiro on pace to break steals mark
                Mariners outfielder has 24 thefts in 26 tries this season


                SEATTLE -- One thing that has gone exactly as planned for the Mariners this season is the way Ichiro Suzuki has been stealing bases.

                Manager John McLaren said during the offseason that Ichiro could steal 80 bases. That would be 24 more than his single-season high of 56 in 2001, his first season with the Mariners.

                "I'm not sure where I came up with 80," McLaren said.

                Going into Tuesday night's game against the Angels at Safeco Field, Ichiro had 24 stolen bases in 26 attempts, a pace that would result in 67 thefts and break the franchise's single-season record of 60, set by Harold Reynolds in 1987.

                "He's done a real nice job of stealing some bags in big parts of games," McLaren said, "a real nice job."

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                • #9
                  A lot depends on how much Ichiro decides to run since he has always had the green light with a average of 41 SB's a year. If he can steal 80 a year like McLaren says he has been dogging it since 2001.

                  Around 150 more SB's I would say.

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                  • #10
                    He will get around 500, and stop, in my opinion.
                    MySpace Codes

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                    • #11
                      A more interesting question to me would be how many "CAREER" steals would Ichiro end up with had he started his in the major leagues.........
                      "There was nothing on the field that Willie could do that i couldnt do......and you know i was a better hitter."-Henry Aaron

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                      • #12
                        Congrats to the guys guessing 700. You're saying he'll play ten more years (until age 44-45) and his yearly SB production (and playing time) will NEVER drop one bit
                        Mythical SF Chronicle scouting report: "That Jeff runs like a deer. Unfortunately, he also hits AND throws like one." I am Venus DeMilo - NO ARM! I can play like a big leaguer, I can field like Luzinski, run like Lombardi. The secret to managing is keeping the ones who hate you away from the undecided ones. I am a triumph of quantity over quality. I'm almost useful, every village needs an idiot.
                        Good traders: MadHatter(2), BoofBonser26, StormSurge

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                        • #13
                          ^^^^Im certain your the same baseball mind who predicted before Ichiro came to the major leagues that he would have the most intentional walks in the league over a 7 year period ass well as the best average with 2 outs and runners in scorring position and overall numbers with runners in scorring position.........
                          "There was nothing on the field that Willie could do that i couldnt do......and you know i was a better hitter."-Henry Aaron

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                          • #14
                            Originally posted by G.Costanza View Post
                            ^^^^Im certain your the same baseball mind who predicted before Ichiro came to the major leagues that he would have the most intentional walks in the league over a 7 year period ass well as the best average with 2 outs and runners in scorring position and overall numbers with runners in scorring position.........
                            This has what to do with anything?
                            Mythical SF Chronicle scouting report: "That Jeff runs like a deer. Unfortunately, he also hits AND throws like one." I am Venus DeMilo - NO ARM! I can play like a big leaguer, I can field like Luzinski, run like Lombardi. The secret to managing is keeping the ones who hate you away from the undecided ones. I am a triumph of quantity over quality. I'm almost useful, every village needs an idiot.
                            Good traders: MadHatter(2), BoofBonser26, StormSurge

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by RuthMayBond View Post
                              This has what to do with anything?
                              Just that it supports my long held suspicion that Ichiro is not human and in fact some sort of Japanese robot. Therefore will not decline and continue playing until he reaches 700. How else does it make sense for A leadoff hitter who steals to lead the league in IBB's. BTW I didn't vote for 700 I choose 500 i think, but I'm assuming those who did are including his Japan stats in the question pertaining to his "career".
                              "There was nothing on the field that Willie could do that i couldnt do......and you know i was a better hitter."-Henry Aaron

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