He's off to a slow start, which doesn't mean anything because he's had slow starts before. He may never be as dominant as he was in 2008/2009, but I think he could have a season similar to his 2007 campaign, or then again maybe another season like 2011, assuming he stays healthy.
Announcement
Collapse
No announcement yet.
Predictions for Albert Pujols
Collapse
X
-
By the end of the year? .310/.390/.5701885 1886 1926 1931 1934 1942 1944 1946 1964 1967 1982 2006 2011
1887 1888 1928 1930 1943 1968 1985 1987 2004 2013
1996 2000 2001 2002 2005 2009 2012 2014 2015
The Top 100 Pitchers In MLB History
The Top 100 Position Players In MLB History
-
Pujols 2011 reminds me of Piazza's 2001.
Both started off poorly, batting far below their career averages. But 2nd half surges brought their numbers up to respectability. The power numbers were there in both cases.
Like Pujols 2011, Piazza's 01' was also his worst year (at that time).
After 2001, Piazza never recovered to old form. He would have a good 2002, but it was extremely poor by his standards. 2001 marked the start of his decline.
I say Pujols goes the way Piazza went after 2001. That's my prediction. His numbers this year will be inferior to last season's.
My rough estimates for 2012:
.285 BA
30-32 HR
85-95 RBI
.520 SLUG
.890 OPS
125 - 130 OPS+
Comment
-
Originally posted by redban View PostPujols 2011 reminds me of Piazza's 2001.
Both started off poorly, batting far below their career averages. But 2nd half surges brought their numbers up to respectability. The power numbers were there in both cases.
Like Pujols 2011, Piazza's 01' was also his worst year (at that time).
After 2001, Piazza never recovered to old form. He would have a good 2002, but it was extremely poor by his standards. 2001 marked the start of his decline.
I say Pujols goes the way Piazza went after 2001. That's my prediction. His numbers this year will be inferior to last season's.
My rough estimates for 2012:
.285 BA
30-32 HR
85-95 RBI
.520 SLUG
.890 OPS
125 - 130 OPS+
Here is the deal. Over the course of a season, every single great hitter in the history of baseball has 2,3, or even 4 stretches per season where they go about .260 or so with little pop over 2-3 weeks. When it happens in the middle or the end of the season, nobody notices. When it happens the first 2-3 weeks, everybody panics. If anybody has followed Albert's career, he has had numerous stretched in his career where he was far worse over a 13 game period than he has been so far. The issue isn't Albert Pujols. The issue is that everybody slept through prob. and stats class in high school.
Now, do I think he will ever be 2008-2009 good again? Of course not. Is he declining? Maybe a little. Is there any indication other than a laughably small sample size that he is about to fall off the cliff? Coming off the heals of a 5 month period in 2011 (June through October) where his OPS+ was over 175? Na.1885 1886 1926 1931 1934 1942 1944 1946 1964 1967 1982 2006 2011
1887 1888 1928 1930 1943 1968 1985 1987 2004 2013
1996 2000 2001 2002 2005 2009 2012 2014 2015
The Top 100 Pitchers In MLB History
The Top 100 Position Players In MLB History
Comment
-
There are a few slow starts happening around baseball this spring. Joey Bats is off to a pretty slow start himself, but I believe this too shall pass."I can see how he won twenty-five games. What I don't understand is how he lost five." - Yogi Berra on Sandy Koufax's 1963 season.
Comment
-
Originally posted by Tenorman View PostThere are a few slow starts happening around baseball this spring. Joey Bats is off to a pretty slow start himself, but I believe this too shall pass.1885 1886 1926 1931 1934 1942 1944 1946 1964 1967 1982 2006 2011
1887 1888 1928 1930 1943 1968 1985 1987 2004 2013
1996 2000 2001 2002 2005 2009 2012 2014 2015
The Top 100 Pitchers In MLB History
The Top 100 Position Players In MLB History
Comment
-
Originally posted by UnderPressure View PostPujols is past his prime. By that, I mean he won't be hitting .330 and 45 home runs and slugging .600 anymore.1885 1886 1926 1931 1934 1942 1944 1946 1964 1967 1982 2006 2011
1887 1888 1928 1930 1943 1968 1985 1987 2004 2013
1996 2000 2001 2002 2005 2009 2012 2014 2015
The Top 100 Pitchers In MLB History
The Top 100 Position Players In MLB History
Comment
-
Originally posted by redban View PostPujols 2011 reminds me of Piazza's 2001.
Both started off poorly, batting far below their career averages. But 2nd half surges brought their numbers up to respectability. The power numbers were there in both cases.
Like Pujols 2011, Piazza's 01' was also his worst year (at that time).
After 2001, Piazza never recovered to old form. He would have a good 2002, but it was extremely poor by his standards. 2001 marked the start of his decline.
I say Pujols goes the way Piazza went after 2001. That's my prediction. His numbers this year will be inferior to last season's.
My rough estimates for 2012:
.285 BA
30-32 HR
85-95 RBI
.520 SLUG
.890 OPS
125 - 130 OPS+"No matter how great you were once upon a time — the years go by, and men forget,” - W. A. Phelon in Baseball Magazine in 1915. “Ross Barnes, forty years ago, was as great as Cobb or Wagner ever dared to be. Had scores been kept then as now, he would have seemed incomparably marvelous.”
Comment
Ad Widget
Collapse
Comment