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Predictions for Albert Pujols

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  • Predictions for Albert Pujols

    He's off to a slow start, which doesn't mean anything because he's had slow starts before. He may never be as dominant as he was in 2008/2009, but I think he could have a season similar to his 2007 campaign, or then again maybe another season like 2011, assuming he stays healthy.
    Last edited by fenrir; 04-19-2012, 03:37 PM.

  • #2
    By the end of the year? .310/.390/.570
    1885 1886 1926 1931 1934 1942 1944 1946 1964 1967 1982 2006 2011

    1887 1888 1928 1930 1943 1968 1985 1987 2004 2013

    1996 2000 2001 2002 2005 2009 2012 2014 2015


    The Top 100 Pitchers In MLB History
    The Top 100 Position Players In MLB History

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    • #3
      Pujols 2011 reminds me of Piazza's 2001.

      Both started off poorly, batting far below their career averages. But 2nd half surges brought their numbers up to respectability. The power numbers were there in both cases.

      Like Pujols 2011, Piazza's 01' was also his worst year (at that time).

      After 2001, Piazza never recovered to old form. He would have a good 2002, but it was extremely poor by his standards. 2001 marked the start of his decline.

      I say Pujols goes the way Piazza went after 2001. That's my prediction. His numbers this year will be inferior to last season's.

      My rough estimates for 2012:

      .285 BA
      30-32 HR
      85-95 RBI
      .520 SLUG
      .890 OPS
      125 - 130 OPS+

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by redban View Post
        Pujols 2011 reminds me of Piazza's 2001.

        Both started off poorly, batting far below their career averages. But 2nd half surges brought their numbers up to respectability. The power numbers were there in both cases.

        Like Pujols 2011, Piazza's 01' was also his worst year (at that time).

        After 2001, Piazza never recovered to old form. He would have a good 2002, but it was extremely poor by his standards. 2001 marked the start of his decline.

        I say Pujols goes the way Piazza went after 2001. That's my prediction. His numbers this year will be inferior to last season's.

        My rough estimates for 2012:

        .285 BA
        30-32 HR
        85-95 RBI
        .520 SLUG
        .890 OPS
        125 - 130 OPS+
        Pujols destroyed the ball in the preseason and is leading the lead in doubles and just had a 8-9 game hitting streak. He will be fine.

        Here is the deal. Over the course of a season, every single great hitter in the history of baseball has 2,3, or even 4 stretches per season where they go about .260 or so with little pop over 2-3 weeks. When it happens in the middle or the end of the season, nobody notices. When it happens the first 2-3 weeks, everybody panics. If anybody has followed Albert's career, he has had numerous stretched in his career where he was far worse over a 13 game period than he has been so far. The issue isn't Albert Pujols. The issue is that everybody slept through prob. and stats class in high school.

        Now, do I think he will ever be 2008-2009 good again? Of course not. Is he declining? Maybe a little. Is there any indication other than a laughably small sample size that he is about to fall off the cliff? Coming off the heals of a 5 month period in 2011 (June through October) where his OPS+ was over 175? Na.
        1885 1886 1926 1931 1934 1942 1944 1946 1964 1967 1982 2006 2011

        1887 1888 1928 1930 1943 1968 1985 1987 2004 2013

        1996 2000 2001 2002 2005 2009 2012 2014 2015


        The Top 100 Pitchers In MLB History
        The Top 100 Position Players In MLB History

        Comment


        • #5
          Pujols is past his prime. By that, I mean he won't be hitting .330 and 45 home runs and slugging .600 anymore.
          Using a stolen chant from Boston Celtics fans whenever an L.A. team is playing up there just reeks of inferiority complex.

          If hitting a baseball is the toughest thing to do in sports, then pitching must be the easiest thing to do in sports.

          Comment


          • #6
            There are a few slow starts happening around baseball this spring. Joey Bats is off to a pretty slow start himself, but I believe this too shall pass.
            "I can see how he won twenty-five games. What I don't understand is how he lost five." - Yogi Berra on Sandy Koufax's 1963 season.

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by Tenorman View Post
              There are a few slow starts happening around baseball this spring. Joey Bats is off to a pretty slow start himself, but I believe this too shall pass.
              Nobody is worried about Miggy or Tulo. Maybe if they had a new record breaking contract people would be paying more attention.
              1885 1886 1926 1931 1934 1942 1944 1946 1964 1967 1982 2006 2011

              1887 1888 1928 1930 1943 1968 1985 1987 2004 2013

              1996 2000 2001 2002 2005 2009 2012 2014 2015


              The Top 100 Pitchers In MLB History
              The Top 100 Position Players In MLB History

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by UnderPressure View Post
                Pujols is past his prime. By that, I mean he won't be hitting .330 and 45 home runs and slugging .600 anymore.
                Agreed, but the predictions you posted are WAY below anything else he has ever put up.
                1885 1886 1926 1931 1934 1942 1944 1946 1964 1967 1982 2006 2011

                1887 1888 1928 1930 1943 1968 1985 1987 2004 2013

                1996 2000 2001 2002 2005 2009 2012 2014 2015


                The Top 100 Pitchers In MLB History
                The Top 100 Position Players In MLB History

                Comment


                • #9
                  under 20 homers

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                  • #10
                    Originally posted by redban View Post
                    Pujols 2011 reminds me of Piazza's 2001.

                    Both started off poorly, batting far below their career averages. But 2nd half surges brought their numbers up to respectability. The power numbers were there in both cases.

                    Like Pujols 2011, Piazza's 01' was also his worst year (at that time).

                    After 2001, Piazza never recovered to old form. He would have a good 2002, but it was extremely poor by his standards. 2001 marked the start of his decline.

                    I say Pujols goes the way Piazza went after 2001. That's my prediction. His numbers this year will be inferior to last season's.

                    My rough estimates for 2012:

                    .285 BA
                    30-32 HR
                    85-95 RBI
                    .520 SLUG
                    .890 OPS
                    125 - 130 OPS+
                    Pujols doesn't have to endure the rigors of catching and can DH whenever necessary tho. Props to Piazza.
                    "No matter how great you were once upon a time — the years go by, and men forget,” - W. A. Phelon in Baseball Magazine in 1915. “Ross Barnes, forty years ago, was as great as Cobb or Wagner ever dared to be. Had scores been kept then as now, he would have seemed incomparably marvelous.”

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Blackout View Post
                      under 20 homers
                      In the first half
                      "Herman Franks to Sal Yvars to Bobby Thomson. Ralph Branca to Bobby Thomson to Helen Rita... cue Russ Hodges."

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        I am not sure i just hope he doesn't heat up against the Rays on our upcoming series coming Tuesday.
                        All it takes for evil to prevail is for good men to do nothing. -Unknown

                        A good head and a good heart are always a formidable combination. -Nelson Mandela

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Hopefully nothing special, so we can put an end to all the talk that he did/will catch Lou Gehrig.
                          Lou Gehrig is the Truest Yankee of them all!

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                          • #14
                            Don't worry about Albert - he'll get his 40 homeruns.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by White Knight View Post
                              Hopefully nothing special, so we can put an end to all the talk that he did/will catch Lou Gehrig.
                              Not a fan?
                              "Allen Sutton Sothoron pitched his initials off today."--1920s article

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