Just curious what everyone's thoughts on this are. Whether you consider Aaron or Bonds the home run king, the chances are if he passes Aaron, he will want to pass Bonds as well. Do you think he can, or will he fall short?
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Arod and the home run record
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A-Rod will fall well short of 762 HRs. A-Rod's power has waned considerely since 2007.
Slugging %
2007: .645
2008: .573
2009: .532
2010: .506
2011: .461
2012: .431
A-Rod only has 5 home runs so far. Not a good sign. I doubt A-Rod wil even pass Babe Ruth's 714 home runs.Strikeouts are boring! Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.-Crash Davis
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Originally posted by Honus Wagner Rules View PostA-Rod will fall well short of 762 HRs. A-Rod's power has waned considerely since 2007.
Slugging %
2007: .645
2008: .573
2009: .532
2010: .506
2011: .461
2012: .431
A-Rod only has 5 home runs so far. Not a good sign. I doubt A-Rod wil even pass Babe Ruth's 714 home runs.
He's signed through 2017 (6 more seasons) and he has 634 HR.
To reach Bonds, he needs 128 HR.
128/6 = 21.333333
He only has to average 22 homeruns per season to reach Bonds. You don't think he can do that?
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Originally posted by redban View PostI disagree.
He's signed through 2017 (6 more seasons) and he has 634 HR.
To reach Bonds, he needs 128 HR.
128/6 = 21.333333
He only has to average 22 homeruns per season to reach Bonds. You don't think he can do that?Vintage Photos of Detroit Ballparks:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/doctor_gogol/sets/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/[email protected]/sets/
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How many people averaged 21 home runs a year between 36-41? I dont see him having a 35+ HR year again, so he'll actually have to get close to that 21 every year. One interesting thing I noticed, if he sticks around his entire contract, he will most likely be the third person, along with Ty Cobb and Rusty Staub to hit a HR as a teenager and a 40 year old."I don't like to sound egotistical, but every time I stepped up to the plate with a bat in my hands, I couldn't help but feel sorry for the pitcher."
-Rogers Hornsby-
"People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring."
-Rogers Hornsby-
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Originally posted by Cubsfan97 View PostOne interesting thing I noticed, if he sticks around his entire contract, he will most likely be the third person, along with Ty Cobb and Rusty Staub to hit a HR as a teenager and a 40 year old.My top 10 players:
1. Babe Ruth
2. Barry Bonds
3. Ty Cobb
4. Ted Williams
5. Willie Mays
6. Alex Rodriguez
7. Hank Aaron
8. Honus Wagner
9. Lou Gehrig
10. Mickey Mantle
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Originally posted by Cubsfan97 View PostHow many people averaged 21 home runs a year between 36-41? I dont see him having a 35+ HR year again, so he'll actually have to get close to that 21 every year. One interesting thing I noticed, if he sticks around his entire contract, he will most likely be the third person, along with Ty Cobb and Rusty Staub to hit a HR as a teenager and a 40 year old.
Even if he doesn't get it by the end of contract, he still has hope..
Like let's say after 2017 he's still a bit short, like at 740 or something. You don't think the Yankees or some other team will sign him and give him a shot at breaking the record? That's money for them.
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Originally posted by Honus Wagner Rules View PostA-Rod will fall well short of 762 HRs. A-Rod's power has waned considerely since 2007.
Slugging %
2007: .645
2008: .573
2009: .532
2010: .506
2011: .461
2012: .431
A-Rod only has 5 home runs so far. Not a good sign. I doubt A-Rod wil even pass Babe Ruth's 714 home runs.
2007- .333 Near-Ruthian
2008- .271 Good enough to lead the league some years
2009- .246 Lower, but still strong
2010- .236 Slipping, but still strong
2011- .185 A power hitter can't live here for long
2012- .135 This is around league average- if this keeps up, it's over
As I've mentioned before, 2012 is a HUGE year for Rodriguez. If he doesn't hit over 30 homers he has almost no chance to catch Bonds- or Aaron. He'll be 37 in July.
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I really hope he breaks the record. I would consider his record just as legit as Aaron's. He only used PEDs for a couple years in Texas and he would've hit 50 homers in the bandbox anyway.My top 10 players:
1. Babe Ruth
2. Barry Bonds
3. Ty Cobb
4. Ted Williams
5. Willie Mays
6. Alex Rodriguez
7. Hank Aaron
8. Honus Wagner
9. Lou Gehrig
10. Mickey Mantle
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Originally posted by GiambiJuice View PostI really hope he breaks the record. I would consider his record just as legit as Aaron's. He only used PEDs for a couple years in Texas and he would've hit 50 homers in the bandbox anyway.
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