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Who else is loving the Orioles total upheaval of the Pythagorean Theorem thus far?
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I do love it, but the math nerd in me has to point out that the expected W-L is the Pythagorean expectation, not the Pythagorean theorem. The Pythagorean theorem deals with the length of sides of triangles. I don't think Greek mathematician Pythagoras knew much about baseball.
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Here is how close the system is....
0 - Exact
NY Mets
Tampa Bay
Atlanta
1
San Diego
Chicago Cubs
Kansas City
Philadelphia
Minnesota
Oakland
NY Yankees
2
LA Dodgers
San Francisco
Chicago White Sox
Detroit
LA Angels
Cincinnati
Texas
Washington
3
Milwaukee
Toronto
4
Houston
Colorado
Arizona
Seattle
Boston
Pittsburgh
6
Miami
Cleveland
St Louis
10
Baltimore
Baltimore's 10 off can be explained real easily....blowouts. The same -47 you are in RS vs RA is the same total you are behind when it comes to blowouts. St Louis in the standings look like they should have a greater record than they should because of their +86 run differential in blowouts(which was +101 before last night).
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Originally posted by PeteU View PostNope, but they do serve as a reality check for those who assume the rule to always apply.Dave Bill Tom George Mark Bob Ernie Soupy Dick Alex Sparky
Joe Gary MCA Emanuel Sonny Dave Earl Stan
Jonathan Neil Roger Anthony Ray Thomas Art Don
Gates Philip John Warrior Rik Casey Tony Horace
Robin Bill Ernie JEDI
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Originally posted by Buczilla View PostBaltimore's 10 off can be explained real easily....blowouts. The same -47 you are in RS vs RA is the same total you are behind when it comes to blowouts. St Louis in the standings look like they should have a greater record than they should because of their +86 run differential in blowouts(which was +101 before last night).46 wins to match last year's total
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Originally posted by SamtheBravesFan View PostNot to mention Baltimore's absurd record in one-run games (22-6).All it takes for evil to prevail is for good men to do nothing. -Unknown
A good head and a good heart are always a formidable combination. -Nelson Mandela
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Originally posted by SamtheBravesFan View PostNot to mention Baltimore's absurd record in one-run games (22-6).
but over a whole season that already usually equals out (wait till season is over) and over several years there is almost no team that outperforms their expectation. 2/3rd of a season is just not enough sample size.I now have my own non commercial blog about training for batspeed and power using my training experience in baseball and track and field.
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On May 19th the Orioles had just won their 5th game in a row and were 13 games above .500 at a 27-14 record. Since then they have gone 33-37 for a .471 winning percentage. For the season pyth sees them as a .455 winning % team which would be a 32-38 record over 70 games.
You can defy pyth for awhile but you can't ever really escape it over the long haul.
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