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NLDS: Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals

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  • NLDS: Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals

    So how will this matchup turn out?
    27
    Nationals in 3
    3.70%
    1
    Nationals in 4
    11.11%
    3
    Nationals in 5
    33.33%
    9
    Cardinals in 3
    3.70%
    1
    Cardinals in 4
    14.81%
    4
    Cardinals in 5
    33.33%
    9

    The poll is expired.

    Baseball Junk Drawer

  • #2
    These series are all close to toss-ups, given the nature of two above average teams playing in a shortened series. If I was forced to do an analysis...

    The fact that Strasburg is out and Carp is suddenly "in" out of nowhere makes this one more intriguing that it would have looked a month ago. Therefore, after Gonzales, the Cards might have a better starting staff. I'd take the Card's offense too, of course.

    HFA for Washington is almost gone with the first 2 being in St. Louis, and of course WASH has the much better defense and bullpen and Gonzales is the best pitcher in the series...unless Carp and Wainwright go all 2009-2010 on everybody.

    Bottom line: Defending champs + 3rd best run differential in baseball + 9 All Stars (none of which are Motte or Craig) + Carp back = an 88 win team that NOBODY wants to play.

    My brain knows that it is a statistical toss-up, my heart tells me the Cardinals win this one, but it is hard to separate what you want to happen and what you think will happen. OF course I don't want to be accused as a homer, so...

    Nats 3 - Cards 2
    1885 1886 1926 1931 1934 1942 1944 1946 1964 1967 1982 2006 2011

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    • #3
      Go ahead and accuse me! Cards in just TWO then. Unprecedented!!
      "Herman Franks to Sal Yvars to Bobby Thomson. Ralph Branca to Bobby Thomson to Helen Rita... cue Russ Hodges."

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      • #4
        I'm for the Nats/Expos/Senators, I'm picking them to go all the way.
        They call me Mr. Baseball. Not because of my love for the game; because of all the stitches in my head.

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        • #5
          Well, it's all tied up. I'm glad the Cardinals got those runs out of their system. Hopefully the Nationals can shut them down in front of the fans in Washington.
          Baseball Junk Drawer

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          • #6
            Happy Flight!
            Mike Hopper
            Former Gateway Grizzlies Intern

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            • #7
              The Cards played a great game tonight. Big sticks and lots of them, long ball, flashing the leather, excellent Baserunning, and solid bullpen work.

              Big advantage for the Nationals though. Next three at their place.... A fully deserved advantage. They had an excellent season, and won a game on the road. I love the 2-3 for that reason. It allows the team that is a better seed to grab one game on the road (which a lot of good teams will be able to do) and enjoy three straight straight at home if needed.

              MUCH better than a 2-2-1 in my opinion.
              "Herman Franks to Sal Yvars to Bobby Thomson. Ralph Branca to Bobby Thomson to Helen Rita... cue Russ Hodges."

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              • #8
                The Nats have the next three at home, but I would take Carp over Jackson and Loshe over Detweiler anyday, I think it will come down to who is better in game 5, Waino or Gio.
                1885 1886 1926 1931 1934 1942 1944 1946 1964 1967 1982 2006 2011

                1887 1888 1928 1930 1943 1968 1985 1987 2004 2013

                1996 2000 2001 2002 2005 2009 2012 2014 2015


                The Top 100 Pitchers In MLB History
                The Top 100 Position Players In MLB History

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                • #9
                  Originally posted by Matthew C. View Post
                  The Nats have the next three at home, but I would take Carp over Jackson and Loshe over Detweiler anyday, I think it will come down to who is better in game 5, Waino or Gio.
                  The Nats are going to wish they had Strasburg available before this is over, I'm afraid.
                  They call me Mr. Baseball. Not because of my love for the game; because of all the stitches in my head.

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                  • #10
                    Zimmermann got hit hard.

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                    • #11
                      Originally posted by StanTheMan View Post
                      The Cards played a great game tonight. Big sticks and lots of them, long ball, flashing the leather, excellent Baserunning, and solid bullpen work.

                      Big advantage for the Nationals though. Next three at their place.... A fully deserved advantage. They had an excellent season, and won a game on the road. I love the 2-3 for that reason. It allows the team that is a better seed to grab one game on the road (which a lot of good teams will be able to do) and enjoy three straight straight at home if needed.

                      MUCH better than a 2-2-1 in my opinion.
                      I agree StanTheMan, its a huge advantage for the higher seed. Look at the Reds, they need to take just one out of three at home to win that series because they won both road games. And it eliminates a travel day. MLB should keep the 2 away- 3 home set up, IMO.

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                      • #12
                        Cards fan here, but I do not trust Boggs at all. If Matheny relies on him too much, the Nationals will take advantage at home. Nats in 5. Better bullpen.
                        Born to an age where horror has become commonplace, where tragedy has, by its monotonous repetition, become a parody of sorrow, we need to fence off a few parks where humans try to be fair, where skill has some hope of reward, [and] where absurdity has a harder time than usual getting a ticket." -- Thomas Boswell, 1984

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                        • #13
                          Originally posted by StanTheMan View Post
                          The Cards played a great game tonight. Big sticks and lots of them, long ball, flashing the leather, excellent Baserunning, and solid bullpen work.

                          Big advantage for the Nationals though. Next three at their place.... A fully deserved advantage. They had an excellent season, and won a game on the road. I love the 2-3 for that reason. It allows the team that is a better seed to grab one game on the road (which a lot of good teams will be able to do) and enjoy three straight straight at home if needed.

                          MUCH better than a 2-2-1 in my opinion.
                          Fans of the Oakland A's might disagree, as they've lost the first two on the road to a lower seed, and now have to win three at home. They could still do it, of course, but if they don't, someone will surely argue that the Tigers got the early momentum from starting the series in their home ballpark. For that reason, I doubt MLB would adopt the 2-3 format permanently.
                          Baseball Junk Drawer

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                          • #14
                            Because the A's lost two road game?? That will be .000001% of any potential adoption of a playoff format. At least one team each year in a 2-2-1 format or 2-2-1-1-1 seven game format (or even 2-3-2) eliminates the better teams' home field advantage. Reason(s) for a change or permanent adoption of any format will be driven primarily by television or other $ based considerations.
                            "Herman Franks to Sal Yvars to Bobby Thomson. Ralph Branca to Bobby Thomson to Helen Rita... cue Russ Hodges."

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                            • #15
                              Originally posted by StanTheMan View Post
                              Because the A's lost two road game?? That will be .000001% of any potential adoption of a playoff format. At least one team each year in a 2-2-1 format or 2-2-1-1-1 seven game format (or even 2-3-2) eliminates the better teams' home field advantage. Reason(s) for a change or permanent adoption of any format will be driven primarily by television or other $ based considerations.
                              Not specifically because of the A's, but because of the counterargument that it allows the lower seed to get an early lead, which might give them a psychological advantage. If they switched to the 2-3 format, I'm sure a lot of people would make that complaint.
                              Baseball Junk Drawer

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