Bryce Harper 2013 Prediction Thread

[GiambiJuice]

I thought it might be fun to predict Bryce Harper's stats for his age-20 season in 2013. It will be interesting to see if he can approach what Trout did in 2012 as a 20 year old. I can't remember a time when we had two players at the same time who were this young and this good.

Well, here's my projection for Harper in 2013. I'd like to see all of yours too. Then we can revisit this thread at the end of the season and see who came closest.

580 AB - .292/.381/.519 33 HR, 26 SB, 90 RBI, 112 runs scored, 85 BB, 37 doubles, 9 triples. 7.2 WAR. 3rd in MVP voting.

[filihok]

FanGraphs has a pretty cool player prediction feature.

I predicted for Harper:
702 PA, 632 AB, 171 hits, 35 2B, 12 3B, 28 HR, 117 R, 91 RBI, 70 BB, 126 K's, 26 SB, .271/.343/.497 and 5.5 WAR

At the moment, 61 FanGraphs readers have predicted Harper for:
676 PA, 602 AB, 172 hits, 32 2B 8 3B, 29 HR, 97 runs, 102 RBI, 68 BB, 138 K's, 23 SB, .286/.359/.510 and 6.1 WAR

Sign up at FanGraphs and you can rate Harper, or anyone else you want.

[Honus Wagner Rules]

Some projections I found online.

ZiPS – .274/.346/.486, .357 wOBA, .316 BABIP, 29 2B, 7 3B, 26 HR, 21 SB, 4.6 WAR

CAIRO – .266/.338/.458, .346 wOBA, 30 2B, 6 3B, 22 HR, 19 SB

Bill James – .272/.347/.476, .356 wOBA, .305 BABIP, 31 2B, 9 3B, 24 HR, 20 SB

Fangraphs- 602 AB, 172 H, 32 2B, 8 3B, 29 HR, 97 RBI, 102 R, 68 BB, 132 BB, 23 SB, 6 CS .286/.359/.510/.869, .372 wOBA, 6.1 WAR

[PlanetZoltan]

I predict a low batting average, high slugging type season for Harper. Like a .270/.365/.515 with 35 2B, 10 3B, 30 HR, 80 BB, 120 K's, and 25-30 steals.

[Francoeurstein]

.280/.360/.490

[GiambiJuice]

I predict a low batting average, high slugging type season for Harper. Like a .270/.365/.515

Harper is currently hitting .264/.371/.522

This guy pretty much nailed it.

[Los Bravos]

He also lost a fight with an outfield wall.

[dominik]

He also lost a fight with an outfield wall.

that can happen to anyone but he needs to be more careful in the future.

[GiambiJuice]

Some projections I found online.

ZiPS – .274/.346/.486, .357 wOBA, .316 BABIP, 29 2B, 7 3B, 26 HR, 21 SB, 4.6 WAR

CAIRO – .266/.338/.458, .346 wOBA, 30 2B, 6 3B, 22 HR, 19 SB

Bill James – .272/.347/.476, .356 wOBA, .305 BABIP, 31 2B, 9 3B, 24 HR, 20 SB

Fangraphs- 602 AB, 172 H, 32 2B, 8 3B, 29 HR, 97 RBI, 102 R, 68 BB, 132 BB, 23 SB, 6 CS .286/.359/.510/.869, .372 wOBA, 6.1 WAR

ZiPS nailed Harper's BA AND SLG right on the nose.

Harper's actual numbers:

.274/.368/.486

And people continue to scoff at projection systems.

[Herr28]

ZiPS nailed Harper's BA AND SLG right on the nose.

Harper's actual numbers:

.274/.368/.486

And people continue to scoff at projection systems.

Probably because of all the cash they are dumping at Madame Esmerelda's fortune tent...

[Captain Cold Nose]

Probably because of all the cash they are dumping at Madame Esmerelda's fortune tent...

Madame did pick 6 Kentucky Derby winners in a row . . .

[Herr28]

Madame did pick 6 Kentucky Derby winners in a row . . .

Hey! Rank her right up there with that World Cup octopus in Germany a few years back! Too bad the darn thing died.

[Cowtipper]

Well, ZiPS also predicted Mike Trout was going to hit .282/.361/.507, so....

[GiambiJuice]

Well, ZiPS also predicted Mike Trout was going to hit .282/.361/.507, so....

touché.

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