Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Heinie Groh

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Heinie Groh

    I think Heinie Groh just might be Hall worthy. His numbers appear way short on the outset, but you have to remember:

    1.He played in the deadball era
    2.He had somewhat of a short career, but had a great peak, and
    3.Third base in his time was a defensive position, like 2B or SS today. His 119 OPS+ for a 3B I believe is the best of any 3B 1900-1935.

    Pie Traynor is a player who is in the HOF and almost everyone thinks deserves it. But, comparing him to Groh I just don't see how Pie is better. He was thought to be better, but that's because Groh's skills weren't considered to be all that important in his day, he played just before the live ball while Pie played right after it, and Traynor's fielding seems to be overrated (almost all fielding metrics show Groh as better).

    I think some people need to realize there is a difference between perception and reality. People used to think smoking wasn't so bad for you, before new research proved them wrong. It's the same in many cases with baseball players. Groh is one such case. People didn't think he was so great in his time, but new research has proven them wrong. According to Win Shares, he was the best player in the National League between Wagner and Hornsby.

    I made this post a while back:

    This has been a very good thread with great discussion on this subject. I'd like to come in and give my two cents on the subject once again.

    As I've maintained throughout, I think Heinie Groh was certainly the better player. The statistical evidence is damning. They have very similar career value, but Groh kills Pie on peak and per game measures. Using Win Shares, WARP3, or TPR it's not even close, Groh wins by a landslide. PCA shows it as virtually even.

    Looking at it statistically on offense, it's not even close. Groh has a way better OPS+ (118 to 107). Groh beats him by 10 points in rel. OBP and they are tied in rel. BA and rel. SLG. I'm willing to call Traynor a better slugger. His park was really tough for power, and his league was a bit stronger. But, park effects hurt his rel. BA, since Forbes was a great park for singles hitters. Groh was the better contact hitter.

    All other things are pretty much even, so plate discipline takes center stage. There Pie can't compare to Heinie. Traynor walked about 28% less than the average player of his time, Groh walked 36% more. Walks can be overrated by stat men, but still they do mean something, certainly enough in this case that Groh can become a much better offensive player because of them.

    Bill presented his argument for Pie's supremacy with their per 162 games averages. This is obviously unfar; Groh played in a time where the league average OPS was .695, Traynor played when it was .769. Although they're not too far from being contemporaries, Groh played mostly right before the intorduction of the live ball while Traynor played right after.

    Pie's RBI totals are impressive, and Groh's not impressive, even in context. But, this again means very little. Traynor got to bat 5th most of his career behind the Waner brothers in a great offensive context. I don't have the data, but I'd bet almost every 5th hitter in the 1920s and 1930s averaged about 100 RBIs a year. Groh was a leadoff man in the deadball era playing for only okay run scoring teams. Not an ideal RBI position at all. I'm willing to bet Groh probably drove in more runs than most did in that same position. The RBI argument is a rye.

    Pie was reputed to be one of the best fielders from the hot corner of all time. This also may be a bit overblown though. It appears Traynor was flashy but somewhat erratic, with good range but a relatively high error rate. Groh was the opposite. Although his range was still solid, his error rates were among the best of all time. He was more than 20 points above the league fielding percentage for his career and still holds the single season F% record, despite huge advances in glove technology over the years.

    Stats show Traynor to be solid, but unspectacular and usually put him below Groh.

    In Ubiquitous' obituaries he gave us, it gives huge props to Pie's fielding, claiming he "astounded opponents and teammates with the glove". Groh does get some praise for his fielding, though not to that degree. What we have here is stats vs. eyewitnesses. With fielding, it is reasonable to trust the eyewitnesses, so you can give Traynor a fielding edge.

    As overall players, eyewitness opinions again heavily favor Traynor. But, their skill sets have more to do with that than their acutal ability. Traynor has way better raw numbers, which certainly swayed many old timers in his way since they didn't have relative stats the way we do now. Groh's main skill was plate discipline, which was undervalued by people of the time. They thought it was almost entirely on the pitcher, and thus didn't give Groh much credit for that. The eyewitness argument, like the RBI one, is largely a biased against Groh and towards Traynor.

    ElHalo says Traynor was the greatest intangilble player ever. Maybe that's true. But, I'm not so sure how much intangilbles should count for. Groh was considered a great intangible player himself who always got along with teammates and was one of the leaders of the great 1919 Reds who won the tainted World Series. John McGraw asked him to come back to the Giants when he was older because he though he was a good man and player and had fond reccollections of him in his early years.

    The evidence ElHalo presents for Traynor is valid, but I'd like to see some proof that it was actually Traynor who helped all those guys. Perhaps some quote from someone. I do know Dick Bartell played with Traynor a long time and considered him selfish and describes him as an "agitator". The evidence for Maranville may be true, but it should also be remembered that Maranville's upturn in offense may largely be due to the park he played in. He went from one of the toughest hitting parks ever (Braves Field), to a park that really suited a contact hitter with little power such as himself (Forbes).

    Traynor probably was a good intangible player, but I'd like to see more evidence from ElHalo before I really take that claim to heart.

    Either way, though, I don't see how that can put Traynor over Groh. The statistical evidence is too damning.


    More good stuff on Groh:

    Cyclone792 posted this on the "Second Edition Top 10 Third Basemen Poll" thread:

    His best seasons were in a terrible era for run scoring and in a pitcher's park, and two of his top seasons (1918 and 1919) were shortened due to WWI, lessening their perceived impact on his peak value. Putting his numbers into context and giving him minor war credit for those two top seasons, he rates very well, as win shares shows.

    Groh's win shares totals by season: 37, 34*, 32*, 28, 25, 24, 19, 19, 18, 15, 13, 12, 2, 1, 1

    I gave him 6 win shares of war credit for 1918 and 2 win shares of war credit for 1919, which I don't believe is an abnormally high amount. His top 3 season peak is tied for 6th all-time and his top 5 season peak is 7th all-time. His slightly lower career value hurts him a bit, but the peak is what pushes Groh to 11th for me.

    That brings up another good point previously unmentioned. Groh comes out about equal to Traynor in career value, but he did serve a bit in WWI, so he should probably be considered ahead there.
    Wee Willie provided this on the same thread:

    Some Win Share comparisons among early 3B:

    Career Win Shares
    Heinie Groh - 271
    Pie Traynor - 271
    Jimmy Collins - 273
    Lave Cross - 275

    Career Win Shares Per 162 Games
    Heinie Groh - 26.19
    Pie Traynor - 22.62
    Jimmy Collins - 25.59
    Lave Cross - 19.58

    Top 3 Seasons, Total Win Shares
    Heinie Groh - 95
    Pie Traynor - 80
    Jimmy Collins - 89
    Lave Cross - 69

    Top 5 Consecutive Seasons, Total Win Shares
    Heinie Groh - 147
    Pie Traynor - 119
    Jimmy Collins - 129
    Lave Cross - 97

    If you value the Win Shares system, Groh has a pretty good case for being ranked the highest among this group of players. Jimmy Collins seems to be the closest to him statisically, with Traynor 3rd and Cross 4th. If you use WARP3 instead of Win Shares, each player seems to perform very similarly.

    Collins does have the strength of opinion going over Groh, though. I think that helps him make up some ground that may allow me to rank him over Groh. It's a tough call. Traynor, on the other hand, is a little too far behind in the numbers for me to put him over the other two.
    Another thing that's worth mentioning is that Groh has been inducted to the BTF Hall of Merit.

    His HOM plaque reads like this:

    "Four-time Stats, Inc. NL Third Baseman (1915, 1917-19). Win Shares NL MVP (1918). Win Shares NL Silver Bat winner (1918). Three-time Win Shares NL Gold Glove winner (1915, 1919-20). Armed with his famous “bottle bat,” the right-handed Groh was the NL’s finest all-around third baseman of the Deadball Era. His keen eye at the plate was instrumental for his standout leadoff skills, while he could deftly drop a bunt or execute a proper hit-and-run for his teams’ cause. One of the most sure-handed at his position in baseball history, he led the NL more times (6) in fielding percentage than any other third baseman; he also led his league in putouts three times and double plays seven times. Member of five pennant winners (1923, 1924, 1927, as well as the world champion 1919 and 1922 teams; he hit .474 in the World Series for the latter team). NL leader for OPS (1919), Games (1915, 1917), Runs (1918), Hits (1917), Doubles (1917-18), Walks (1916), HBP (1914, 1924), OBP (1917-18) and Times on Bases (1917-18). Retired with the major league record for highest fielding percentage for a season (.983 in 1924), as well as the NL record for fewest errors, 140 or more games (7 in 1924)."

    So, what do you guys think about Groh's HOF candidacy? I think he belongs, but I'd like to hear what others say.
    42
    Yes
    50.00%
    21
    No
    50.00%
    21
    Last edited by 538280; 02-12-2006, 04:56 PM.

  • #2
    I wouldn't mind him being in as I think he deserves mention with Jimmy Collins and Pie Traynor, but I'm not eager to stump for his candidacy either.

    Speaking of Heinies that played 3B in the teens, what do you think of Heinie Zimmerman? His career was shorter, but he was probably the better offensive player

    Comment


    • #3
      I can see it, particularly since his peak performances in win shares place him 10th among third basemen in his 3 best years and 7th in his best 5 consecutive. Those things push the balance in his favor, IMO. That said, he's a bit of a tough sell since those two elements are two of the few HOF markers he has. If you want to get any serious support, it would be smart to develop how other sabermetric methods see his career and peak.

      Jim Albright
      Seen on a bumper sticker: If only closed minds came with closed mouths.
      Some minds are like concrete--thoroughly mixed up and permanently set.
      A Lincoln: I don't think much of a man who is not wiser today than he was yesterday.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by jalbright
        If you want to get any serious support, it would be smart to develop how other sabermetric methods see his career and peak.

        Jim Albright
        WARP3 shows him at 81.5 for career, 28.9 for three year peak, and 45 for 5 year consecutive peak. I'm not nearly as familiar with WARP3 as Win Shares and frankly I don't even know if that's HOF quality.

        TPR gives a definite yes. It shows Groh being the best player in the NL in 1916 and 1918 and at about 30 I believe for career, which is definitely the level of a HOFer.

        Heinie Zimmerman? I don't see him being nearly as good as Groh. His career was a bit shorter, he wasn't nearly the fielder, and his peak isn't as good really (he did have the one monster year in 1912 but that was his only great year).

        I don't think he's the better offensive player either. I think the key thing you have to remember is that OPS+ isn't necessarily too friendly guys with great OBPs who aren't the greatest of sluggers like Groh.

        Despite the fact Groh had a rather long decline phase and Zimmerman didn't even have one, Groh's relative stats are better:
        ....................BA......OBP......SLG
        Groh..............103.....113......105
        Zimmerman....113......101.......120

        Though Zimmerman does have better SLG and BA, I think the OBP compensates for it. It's close, though. Groh does have a high RC/27 (5.08 to 5.07), and a higher EqA (.289 to .282). It is very close, but I go with Groh.

        Of course, when it comes to the field Zimmerman can't even come close so the Hall debate for him stops there. Plus, Groh was the best player in the NL 1916-1920 IMO. I don't see Zimmerman even close outside of 1912, which might even be classified as a fluke season.

        Anyway, I may be rambling about nothing because I don't even think Zimmerman is eligible for the Hall. He was thought to be involved with Hal Chase and gamblers throwing games and was banned from baseball (this is why he didn't have a decline phase).

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by 538280
          I think some people need to realize there is a difference between perception and reality. People used to think smoking wasn't so bad for you, before new research proved them wrong. It's the same in many cases with baseball players. Groh is one such case. People didn't think he was so great in his time, but new research has proven them wrong. According to Win Shares, he was the best player in the National League between Wagner and Hornsby.

          I think you have to stop using one way analogies

          People think Computers are the future, our kids are getting fat and lazy
          People think we make drugs to cure 99% of all illnesses, yet more people die from drugs that are supposed to help us
          People think marriage is long term dating, ready to get divorced when they tire of one another

          None of those are enhancements to society, yet many will state they are 'better' for society

          So to say stats today are much better today then yesterdays archaic measurements are not autmatically correct.

          Today's stats are more complicated, more ambiguous and more of a $$$ making scheme, that does not make them better...OPS is created from just adding 2 stats

          Sutter, Eck and Eddie Murray got into the HOF last couple of years, yet we wanna argue if Rabbit Maranville shoudl be there

          Heinie Groh is not a HOFer, he was a good player, he had a huge bat

          I'd like if you stop condescending those who don't eat up every new stat that comes around just because others say "Look, A+b/.56433 rounding up % SLG =outcome" So what, doesn't make it correct or relevant
          Last edited by Imapotato; 02-13-2006, 06:14 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            --Anybody remember a guy named Frank Baker? Insert him in the Win Shares comparison and he murders everybody on the "top early 3B" list. He also posted a 135 OPS+ so no Henie Groh did not have the best OPS+ of 3B from that era. Of course, Groh could be a Hall of Famer as the 2nd best 3B of the first half of baseball history . Not saying he was the 2nd best, but that is the position everybody would be scapping for. Baker is number one by a wide margin.

            Comment


            • #7
              Groh certainly had a career deserving of respect, but if his main claim to the HoF is that he was better than Pie Traynor then he doesn't get much sympathy. He isn't near as good as Denny Lyons who isn't even remotely on anyone's radar for the HoF. Groh falls in with guys like Deacon White and Harlond Clift. Very good players but probably short of HoF caliber.
              Buck O'Neil: The Monarch of Baseball

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by 538280
                Anyway, I may be rambling about nothing because I don't even think Zimmerman is eligible for the Hall. He was thought to be involved with Hal Chase and gamblers throwing games and was banned from baseball (this is why he didn't have a decline phase).
                I think your own numbers show that Zimmerman was the better offensive player, albeit for a shorter period. But Groh was the better overall 3Bman. Anyway, I didn't realize that Zimmerman went down with Chase, so I completely withdraw my original comment about Zimmerman.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by KCGHOST
                  Groh certainly had a career deserving of respect, but if his main claim to the HoF is that he was better than Pie Traynor then he doesn't get much sympathy. He isn't near as good as Denny Lyons who isn't even remotely on anyone's radar for the HoF. Groh falls in with guys like Deacon White and Harlond Clift. Very good players but probably short of HoF caliber.
                  Denny Lyons is not nearly as good a player as Groh. Lyons was one hell of a hitter, that's for sure, but his career, even taking into account the short schedules, was very short, IMO too short for a HOFer. Also, his offensive prowess must be tempered by remembering he played not only in the 19th century, but also in the inferior American Association for much of his career.

                  Also, research by Bill James has shown that 19th century 3B like Lyons, White, and Sutton don't really deserve the spectrum jump advantage. When talking about the 3B/2B shift in the 19th century, James says that "The defensive spectrum only exists in a highly organized structure. Major League Baseball in 1876 wasn't very organized." When the game first became really organized in the mid to late 1890s, that's when the spectrum was set.

                  Plus, Lyons was not a good fielder at all. All statistical measures I've seen call him below average. Win Shares has him a C- fielder, BP has him 19 runs below average. Groh was one of the best fielders of his time, at a really tough defensive position. Lyons was a below average fielder, at a neutral position. That's a big difference.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Imapotato
                    I think you have to stop using one way analogies

                    People think Computers are the future, our kids are getting fat and lazy
                    People think we make drugs to cure 99% of all illnesses, yet more people die from drugs that are supposed to help us
                    People think marriage is long term dating, ready to get divorced when they tire of one another

                    None of those are enhancements to society, yet many will state they are 'better' for society

                    So to say stats today are much better today then yesterdays archaic measurements are not autmatically correct.

                    Today's stats are more complicated, more ambiguous and more of a $$$ making scheme, that does not make them better...OPS is created from just adding 2 stats

                    Sutter, Eck and Eddie Murray got into the HOF last couple of years, yet we wanna argue if Rabbit Maranville shoudl be there

                    Heinie Groh is not a HOFer, he was a good player, he had a huge bat

                    I'd like if you stop condescending those who don't eat up every new stat that comes around just because others say "Look, A+b/.56433 rounding up % SLG =outcome" So what, doesn't make it correct or relevant
                    I'm on your side a bit. I'm not totally comfortable with using today's stats to view/rank a player.
                    If the folks who saw him play didn't consider his skill set to be important at that time, are we supposed to now say 'ya didn't know what ya was seeing ya dummies'?
                    OTOH, I am pretty much convinced, using the new metrics, that Heinie Groh was grossly over-looked in his era. Furthermore, I believe he was better than Pie Traynor when viewed through the new metrics.

                    Yankees Fan Since 1957

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      The thing is though - Groh doesn't necessarily need stats like EqA or WS to make his case against someone like Traynor. You can use traditional stats, and then put them in context relative to their league.

                      Relative BA: Groh +7.7%, Traynor +8.5%
                      Relative SA: Groh +4.9%, Traynor +4.6%
                      Relative OBP: Groh +13.4%, Traynor +2.5%

                      So, normalizing the traditional stats, Traynor and Groh are about the same on BA and SA - but Groh walked a lot more and thus was considerably better at getting on base. For that reason, I'd give Groh the edge in offense.

                      Defensive metrics can be interpreted many different ways. Groh has the fielding pct. advantage, while Pie got to more balls. Pie has the great reputation on defense, so I can see where many would give him the edge there.

                      Either way, they're very close overall. But neither make my top 10 3B.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by yanks0714
                        I'm on your side a bit. I'm not totally comfortable with using today's stats to view/rank a player.
                        If the folks who saw him play didn't consider his skill set to be important at that time, are we supposed to now say 'ya didn't know what ya was seeing ya dummies'?
                        OTOH, I am pretty much convinced, using the new metrics, that Heinie Groh was grossly over-looked in his era. Furthermore, I believe he was better than Pie Traynor when viewed through the new metrics.

                        I agree sometimes new stats have an upside, like Traynor...I am not completely set in saying "This is set in stone"...that is what some of the guys who love Win Shares or Relative SLG or OPS+ like to do..I hear it all the time, as does William Burgess

                        I am open minded when it comes to new stats, BUT I try and not forget things that don't show up in the numbers, the HUMAN element, the BASEBALL element

                        Like Leecemark said...Look at HR Baker

                        Ok, new stats show how good he was from that standpoint...that opened my eyes to Baker when I did not hold him in such hogh reagard

                        Now look at the human element of Baker

                        He sat out a year, because Connie Mack was a tightwad and held his career with his power over him (and people hate Comiskey...go figure)

                        His wife died leaving him a single parent, causing stress, hardship (financial and emotional)

                        He left the game to raise his children when he still had talent

                        HR Baker is always my #1 3rd baseman...and Mike Schmidt will always be vastly overrated

                        Baker played his game with the strategies, rules of his time in all facets of the game, better then Schmidt did at his time...with 100% more adversity then Mike did
                        Last edited by Imapotato; 02-17-2006, 02:05 PM.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Imapotato
                          I agree sometimes new stats have an upside, like Traynor...I am not completely set in saying "This is set in stone"...that is what some of the guys who love Win Shares or Relative SLG or OPS+ like to do..I hear it all the time, as does William Burgess

                          I am open minded when it comes to new stats, BUT I try and not forget things that don't show up in the numbers, the HUMAN element, the BASEBALL element

                          Like Leecemark said...Look at HR Baker

                          Ok, new stats show how good he was from that standpoint...that opened my eyes to Baker when I did not hold him in such hogh reagard

                          Now look at the human element of Baker

                          He sat out a year, because Connie Mack was a tightwad and held his career with his power over him (and people hate Comiskey...go figure)

                          His wife died leaving him a single parent, causing stress, hardship (financial and emotional)

                          He left the game to raise his children when he still had talent

                          HR Baker is always my #1 3rd baseman...and Mike Schmidt will always be vastly overrated

                          Baker played his game with the strategies, rules of his time in all facets of the game, better then Schmidt did at his time...with 100% more adversity then Mike did
                          If you haven't, read 'Frank 'Home Run' Baker' by Barry Sparks.

                          Very good look at Baker's life and career.

                          Regarding your post, the year Baker sat out I think he was under contract and wanted mack to renegotiate. Mack refused. It may have been some slippery work by Mack the previous year to get Baker to sign a rare multi year contract but, nevertheless, he was under contract and chose to sit out.

                          Baker did put his children ahead of the game and that is commendable.

                          Baker #1? Schmidt overrated? Not in my book. Schmidt is #1 with Baker #5, with Eddie Mathews, George Brett, and Wade Boggs sandwiched between them.

                          Yankees Fan Since 1957

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            I've decided to bring this thread back, with a poll. Please vote for whether or not you think Heinie Groh is a HOF caliber player.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              No way.

                              Call me a cave man, but I prefer the more traditional stats.

                              566 RBIs
                              26 HRs (admittedly, not as important given the era)
                              .292 BA
                              .373 OBP
                              .384 SLG
                              180 SBs


                              Even for the dead ball era, I would not call these great numbers. Offensive greatness was often determined by batting average, and he hit 30 points below Traynor and in 300 fewer games. His OPS is inflated because of the walks he drew, and I am not inclined to let a guy go in the HOF because he had an ability to draw walks.

                              As far as SBs, the years that they recorded caught stealing, Heinie was caught exactly as many times as bags he stole (66/66). This means to me that his basestealing ability was worse than Cecil Fielder's, because at least Cecil did not run into outs. (Unless someone can explain this statistical enigma to me.)

                              I say he barely makes the Hall of Very Good, and only because of a lack of great third basemen pre-1950.

                              Comment

                              Ad Widget

                              Collapse
                              Working...
                              X