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Jeff Bagwell - Underrated Historically?

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  • Jeff Bagwell - Underrated Historically?

    Seems to me that this guy doesn't get a lot of credit. He hit for a good average, had excellent power, got on base a lot, could steal some bases, and was also a very good defender. I personally think he's among the five greatest first basemen ever, and certainly among the 50 greatest players ever. What does everyone else think?

  • #2
    Too many issues. I just find it hard to believe he wasnt juicing. I wish there was a way I could know for sure. I rank him in top 10 but if I knew for sure he didnt use, I would have him in my top 5.
    "(Shoeless Joe Jackson's fall from grace is one of the real tragedies of baseball. I always thought he was more sinned against than sinning." -- Connie Mack

    "I have the ultimate respect for Whitesox fans. They were as miserable as the Cubs and Redsox fans ever were but always had the good decency to keep it to themselves. And when they finally won the World Series, they celebrated without annoying every other fan in the country."--Jim Caple, ESPN (Jan. 12, 2011)

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    • #3
      From what I remember, he was overshadowed by other first baseman, Mark McGwire especially. In the 1990s, everyone saw McGwire as the best 1B by far.

      There were also guys like Carlos Delgado, Todd Helton, Jim Thome, Andres Galarraga, Fred McGriff, etc

      Basically, 1B was a loaded position.

      For evidence, you could also look at how many All-Star Games fans voted Bagwell in to. 1996 is the only one he started. Even in some of his monster seasons (2000) he didn't make the team because there were other guys who had better stats.

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      • #4
        Hank Greenberg once had 100 RBI at the All Star break and did not make the AS team, seems a couple guys named Gehrig and Foxx were more deserving

        Originally posted by redban View Post
        From what I remember, he was overshadowed by other first baseman, Mark McGwire especially. In the 1990s, everyone saw McGwire as the best 1B by far.

        There were also guys like Carlos Delgado, Todd Helton, Jim Thome, Andres Galarraga, Fred McGriff, etc

        Basically, 1B was a loaded position.

        For evidence, you could also look at how many All-Star Games fans voted Bagwell in to. 1996 is the only one he started. Even in some of his monster seasons (2000) he didn't make the team because there were other guys who had better stats.
        1. The more I learn, the more convinced I am that many players are over-rated due to inflated stats from offensive home parks (and eras)
        2. Strat-O-Matic Baseball Player, Collector and Hobbyist since 1969, visit my strat site: http://forums.delphiforums.com/GamersParadise
        3. My table top gaming blog: http://cary333.blogspot.com/

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        • #5
          Originally posted by chicagowhitesox1173 View Post
          Too many issues. I just find it hard to believe he wasnt juicing. I wish there was a way I could know for sure. I rank him in top 10 but if I knew for sure he didnt use, I would have him in my top 5.
          I talked to two ex Big Leaguers (one played mainly in the minors from 91'-95', the other with the Rays mainly in the last decade). Both said it seemed that the majority of players were juicing in the 90's.

          More importantly, the guy from the Rays organization said players pay informants to be tipped off when the "randomized" testing is going to be conducted, and they pay well.

          He said BJ Upton had his OWN coffee pot with a green top that he was very possessive about. Right out there in the open, next to the other coffee pots. You can probably guess what the "green" signified. Openly mocking the drug policy. This guy was on a MLB roster when the testing that produced the Mitchell Report testing was conducted. He laughed that on 10% of guys tested positive. "It should've been about 70 percent, man!!!"

          He said the Mitchell List guys were almost exclusively the dumb/greedy ones. (ahem, Bonds, Manny).
          Last edited by csh19792001; 05-01-2012, 07:18 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by redban View Post
            From what I remember, he was overshadowed by other first baseman, Mark McGwire especially. In the 1990s, everyone saw McGwire as the best 1B by far.

            There were also guys like Carlos Delgado, Todd Helton, Jim Thome, Andres Galarraga, Fred McGriff, etc

            Basically, 1B was a loaded position.

            For evidence, you could also look at how many All-Star Games fans voted Bagwell in to. 1996 is the only one he started. Even in some of his monster seasons (2000) he didn't make the team because there were other guys who had better stats.
            if any first baseman overshadowed Bagwell in the 90's it was Frank Thomas who was a better hitter not not as good an overall player.
            My top 10 players:

            1. Babe Ruth
            2. Barry Bonds
            3. Ty Cobb
            4. Ted Williams
            5. Willie Mays
            6. Alex Rodriguez
            7. Hank Aaron
            8. Honus Wagner
            9. Lou Gehrig
            10. Mickey Mantle

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            • #7
              Originally posted by redban View Post
              From what I remember, he was overshadowed by other first baseman, Mark McGwire especially. In the 1990s, everyone saw McGwire as the best 1B by far.

              There were also guys like Carlos Delgado, Todd Helton, Jim Thome, Andres Galarraga, Fred McGriff, etc

              Basically, 1B was a loaded position.

              For evidence, you could also look at how many All-Star Games fans voted Bagwell in to. 1996 is the only one he started. Even in some of his monster seasons (2000) he didn't make the team because there were other guys who had better stats.
              The fact that he was overshadowed was extremely unfair. He was easily superior to all those players you mentioned, which is why I stated in the OP that I think he's generally underrated.

              I honestly don't see how he's not a top five 1B of all-time, unless you believe he juiced.

              Comment


              • #8
                During the 1990's Bagwell was consistently one of the best hitters in baseball. Only Thomas, Bonds, and Piazza were better than him, IMO.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Easily underrated.

                  1. Played in the steroid era.
                  2. Played at a time when 1B was as packed with good players as it may have ever been.
                  3. Played for the Astros. Granted, they had a stretch of good seasons while he was there, but still not a premier name team.
                  4. Had his best season cut short by the strike. 39 HR/104 R/116 RBI/213 OPS+ in 110 games.


                  He is on the short list of 5-tool 1B.
                  AL East Champions: 1981 1982
                  AL Pennant: 1982
                  NL Central Champions: 2011
                  NL Wild Card: 2008

                  "It was like coming this close to your dreams and then watching them brush past you like a stranger in a crowd. At the time you don't think much of it; you know, we just don't recognize the significant moments of our lives while they're happening. Back then I thought, 'Well, there'll be other days.' I didn't realize that that was the only day." - Moonlight Graham

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by csh19792001 View Post
                    I talked to two ex Big Leaguers (one played mainly in the minors from 91'-95', the other with the Rays mainly in the last decade). Both said it seemed that the majority of players were juicing in the 90's.

                    More importantly, the guy from the Rays organization said players pay informants to be tipped off when the "randomized" testing is going to be conducted, and they pay well.

                    He said BJ Upton had his OWN coffee pot with a green top that he was very possessive about. Right out there in the open, next to the other coffee pots. You can probably guess what the "green" signified. Openly mocking the drug policy. This guy was on a MLB roster when the testing that produced the Mitchell Report testing was conducted. He laughed that on 10% of guys tested positive. "It should've been about 70 percent, man!!!"

                    He said the Mitchell List guys were almost exclusively the dumb/greedy ones. (ahem, Bonds, Manny).
                    Manny wasn't on the Mitchell List.
                    Indeed the first step toward finding out is to acknowledge you do not satisfactorily know already; so that no blight can so surely arrest all intellectual growth as the blight of cocksureness.--CS Peirce

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by The Dude View Post
                      4. Had his best season cut short by the strike. 39 HR/104 R/116 RBI/213 OPS+ in 110 games.
                      Correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe he had a season ending injury anyway. Regardless, he definitely had a historic season in 1994. So did Frank Thomas.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by 9RoyHobbsRF View Post
                        Hank Greenberg once had 100 RBI at the All Star break and did not make the AS team, seems a couple guys named Gehrig and Foxx were more deserving
                        He still won the MVP at least. Oddly enough- Foxx played the 1935 All-Star game at third base.

                        That was a weird All-star game, though. The NL had Dizzy Dean, Carl Hubbell, and Paul Derringer on the roster, with Hubbell and Dean at the peak of their careers, but they started Bill Walker, who was, at the time, 6-2 3.56, compared with Dean's 12-6 2.89.
                        "Here's a crazy thought I've always had: if they cut three fingers off each hand, I'd really be a great hitter because then I could level off better." Paul Waner (lifetime .333 hitter, 3,152 lifetime hits.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          I don't think you should hold it against Bagwell for playing in an era of other great first basemen and I'm never sure how to take the steroid or not steroid player era into account, but ... just looking at Bagwell straight on, without discounting those two things, I think he is underrated. I don't think he was Top 5 of all-time, but I'd say he was about #9 overall in 1B rankings, behind Frank Thomas for sure in his era, but ahead of McGwire. More RBI's, better AVE., etc. And I do think he belongs in the Hall of Fame, unless evidence of the PED question is stronger. His stats would have to be looked at in a different light then. What light, who knows?
                          http://baseballevaluation.com

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            1990's First basemen

                            Most WAR, inactive players debuting 1985-94 with 650+ G at 1B
                            Code:
                            Rk             Player WAR/pos OPS+ Rfield  HR  RBI    PA From   To   BA  OBP  SLG
                            1        Jeff Bagwell    79.9  149     34 449 1529  9431 1991 2005 .297 .408 .540
                            2        Frank Thomas    75.9  156    -67 521 1704 10075 1990 2008 .301 .419 .555
                            3     Rafael Palmeiro    66.0  132     42 569 1835 12046 1986 2005 .288 .371 .515
                            4        Mark McGwire    63.1  162    -29 583 1414  7660 1986 2001 .263 .394 .588
                            5          Will Clark    57.6  137      0 284 1205  8283 1986 2000 .303 .384 .497
                            6         John Olerud    56.8  128     96 255 1230  9063 1989 2005 .295 .398 .465
                            7        Fred McGriff    50.5  134    -33 493 1550 10174 1986 2004 .284 .377 .509
                            8          Mark Grace    47.1  119     77 173 1146  9290 1988 2003 .303 .383 .442
                            9      Carlos Delgado    44.2  138    -43 473 1512  8657 1993 2009 .280 .383 .546
                            10       Wally Joyner    34.2  117     54 204 1106  8115 1986 2001 .289 .362 .440
                            11        Ryan Klesko    26.7  128    -70 278  987  6523 1992 2007 .279 .370 .500
                            12   Andres Galarraga    26.7  118    -27 399 1425  8916 1985 2004 .288 .347 .499
                            13          John Kruk    26.1  133     -9 100  592  4603 1986 1995 .300 .397 .446
                            14          Mo Vaughn    25.8  132    -41 328 1064  6410 1991 2003 .293 .383 .523
                            15      Tino Martinez    25.7  112     57 339 1271  8044 1990 2005 .271 .344 .471
                            16        Jeff Conine    22.3  107     32 214 1071  7782 1990 2007 .285 .347 .443
                            17      Cecil Fielder    15.3  118    -27 319 1008  5939 1985 1998 .255 .345 .482
                            18         Hal Morris    10.8  111      4  76  513  4443 1988 2000 .304 .361 .433
                            19          J.T. Snow    10.0  105    -30 189  877  6553 1992 2008 .268 .357 .427
                            20        Eric Karros     9.0  107    -10 284 1027  7100 1991 2004 .268 .325 .454
                            Si quaeris peninsulam amoenam, circumspice.

                            Comprehensive Reform for the Veterans Committee -- Fixing the Hall continued.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              ^ See, WAR factors in defense and baserunning.

                              When it comes to 1B, offense is what people look at. And if you look at the OPS+, Slugging %, and HR, McGwire is far and away the best.

                              That's why McGwire was considered the best 1B at the time. Very few people called Bagwell better than McGwire in the 1990s. It was more recently, after the steroid hate came, that it changed.

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