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Sabermetrics & Fantasy Baseball

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  • Sabermetrics & Fantasy Baseball

    Hey guys, just wondering if anyone can help me out with my preparation for the 2006 fantasy baseball season.
    I play in a standard 5 x 5 league: R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG.... W, SV, K, WHIP, ERA.
    I know stats like Runs, Home Runs, Wins and Saves are all team, lineup, ballpark, etc. dependant, and those are things I'd have to take into consideration when evaluating each individual player. But for now, I'd just like evaluate the players' skills, and not worry about the variables and different situations. I'm looking for stats that give the best possible indications of a players power, speed, and ability to make contact with the ball. So far i've used the basic BA, OBP, SLG, OPS, ISO, EYE (BB/K), and Bill James' Speed Score to evaluate hitters. But I don't know which stats are most important, which are irrelevent, and some benchmarks for all of them. For pitchers, I've read up on the "Lima Plan" which uses K/BB ratio of 2.0 or better, a K/9 ratio of 6.0 or better, and a HR/9 of 1.0 or less to identify pitchers with the best skills. I like this alot, but I haven't really found anything else, and you guys here could probably tell me the problems with it or hopefully give me some alternatives.

    If there's anyone that can help me out here, or point me into the right direction I'd appreciate it a lot... thanks.

  • #2
    Sabermetrics and fantasy baseball are almost the antithesis of one another. I've actually found that understanding sabermetrics does very little to improve my fantasy skills. Fantasy baseball is all about the numbers, at face value, while sabermetrics is centered around revealing what's behind the numbers. For example, from a purely fantasy perspective, Alfonso Soriano was gold three out of the last four seasons. From a SABR perspective, he could be the most overrated player in the league.

    With that said, stay away from Soriano next year, RFK will be murder for his numbers. I guess that is the best application for sabermetrics in fantasy baseball, predicting the impact that changing teams/leagues, etc. will have on a player.

    Perhaps some others here have a different take, or have used sabermetrics to substantially improve their fantasy sensibilities, but I'm somewhat skeptical as to how much of advantage they give you.

    In the avy: AZ - Doe or Die


    • #3
      I disagree on that one. Sabremetrics helps one identify why one gets lots of RBI's or runs or why one doesn't. It helps one understand how a pitcher gets a win or not and so forth. Using sabremetrics and its tools helps in fantasy baseball. Voros developed DIPS in part because of fantasy baseball and because of his tools he constantly won his fantasy league. I played fantasy baseball for two seasons awhile back and both times I won my league and I used the knowledge I gained from sabremetrics to do that.


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