Over at retrosheet in the "feautres" section under "research papers" there's a great piece written by Gary Hardegree on a new metric he proposes is more comprehensive and correlates better with both runs and wins than any other metric commonly available. Even OPS+ and weighted batting average. In fact, the author proposes that base advance average tracks wins at a 95% rate, while OPS only does so 84% rate.
In fact, he states it correlates nearly as well with wins as runs themselves!!
It requires complete PBP data but- ostensibly- is a much more situationally specific and accurate measure of offensive production than any other stats du jour, like OPS+ or RC.
Interesting, too, was that baserunning is incorporated in the form of bases advanced. Not confined to SB and CS anymore...
I wanted to hear what the statisticians thought of the assets and limitations of the study and the conclusions the author makes.
In fact, he states it correlates nearly as well with wins as runs themselves!!
It requires complete PBP data but- ostensibly- is a much more situationally specific and accurate measure of offensive production than any other stats du jour, like OPS+ or RC.
Interesting, too, was that baserunning is incorporated in the form of bases advanced. Not confined to SB and CS anymore...
I wanted to hear what the statisticians thought of the assets and limitations of the study and the conclusions the author makes.
Comment