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Park adjusting DER

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  • Park adjusting DER

    Is there a simple way to do it?
    "Any pitcher who throws at a batter and deliberately tries to hit him is a communist."

    - Alvin Dark

  • #2
    Not a simple way to park-adjust DER...but IMHO there's a simple way to park adjust runs not produced by the longball.

    RA = LWHR * HR + All the rest
    if you take the HR runs out, you can park adjust the non-HR runs using a non-HR park factor.

    One of the data products the F/S Matrix produces is an in-play park factor that is mathematically pure.

    PkI = PkR - PkHR*LWHR (PkI = Park in play factor)

    I can do that because the park factors are all in terms of runs per game per team above average so they can be directly added.

    Take an F/S Park-I, multiply it by games played and there's the number of runs you must subtract from the non-HR runs to get a park adjusted in-play run score.

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    • #3
      ---Wincing
      "Any pitcher who throws at a batter and deliberately tries to hit him is a communist."

      - Alvin Dark

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      • #4
        Oh come on! Why are you wincing?! The math involved is multiplication and subtraction...

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        • #5
          PkI = PkR - PkHR*LWHR

          I'm not wincing at the math. I'm wincing at phrases like PkI, PkR, PkHR, and LWHR. Do you just make these up for fun?
          "Any pitcher who throws at a batter and deliberately tries to hit him is a communist."

          - Alvin Dark

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          • #6
            I shorten things because if I didn't the equations would be hard to read.

            Here's a decoder ring.

            LWHR = The linear weight value of a home run
            PkR = The park's impact on run scoring per game per team above average
            PkHR = ditto but HR rate instead of run scoring.
            PkI = ditto but run scoring not by long-ball

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